Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,063.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

86% win-rate bettor adds to Karmine

A highly experienced serial trader with an 86% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position despite the market already pricing them at 86%.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 153 resolved trades and is up $594,205 lifetime.
  • The $20,000 purchase represented 66% of the market’s 24-hour volume and added to an existing Karmine Corp position.
  • The trade came from a serial cross-market trader active across 77 events and 142 markets.

$20,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettors scaling into Karmine

Three wallets deployed $30,357 on Karmine Corp, including two highly profitable repeat bettors adding to existing positions amid an extreme volume spike.

  • Two established bettors with 82% and 86% win rates added to Karmine Corp positions at 87–88¢.
  • Three wallets bought the same outcome for $30,357, accounting for nearly all of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • Trading volume was 710x the historical average, providing strong evidence of concentrated conviction despite Karmine already pricing at 88%.

$30,357 on Karmine Corp

Serial esports trader scaling Karmine

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader is adding $2,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position, though the historical win rate does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • This bettor has resolved 899 trades with a 78% win rate and is up $28,192 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 26 events and are adding $2,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position at 87¢.
  • The bet represents a meaningful share of the detected $4,691 in 24-hour volume, signaling continued conviction in the 86% favorite.

$2,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% winner scaling into Karmine

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $87,926 profit is adding nearly $8,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 164 of 183 resolved trades and is up $87,926 lifetime.
  • They are adding nearly $8,000 to Karmine Corp at 89¢, reinforcing an existing position.
  • The bet was over 27 times the market’s 24-hour volume, making it a strong conviction signal in a relatively thin market.

$7,966 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 68%

99% bettor takes Karmine Corp

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate made a large, fresh Karmine Corp bet in a very thin market.

  • This bettor has won 1,126 of 1,142 resolved trades and is up $418,635.
  • The $1,740 position is over six times the market's 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in Karmine Corp.
  • The entry at 87¢ implies Karmine Corp is being backed as an approximately 87% winner, near the market's current 86% odds.

$1,740 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4337...8882 — Fnatic, $10,462 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x0a63...fc03 — Fnatic, $10,299 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x531b...32b6 — Fnatic, $10,000 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x5d34...7c8c — Fnatic, $10,000 (78% win rate)
  5. 0x52b7...0aa1 — Fnatic, $8,000 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x80ba...2e78 — Fnatic, $7,012 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x4afb...ed2b — Fnatic, $7,000 (53% win rate)
  8. 0xfc92...5667 — Fnatic, $3,700 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x64c4...1018 — Fnatic, $3,000 (96% win rate)
  10. 0xae69...6e71 — Fnatic, $3,000

Related Theses

Bilibili Gaming Wins Series and Games

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Hanwha wins series in 4+ games

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Bilibili Gaming will sweep Team WE

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Bilibili Gaming Wins Series and Games

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Karmine Corp wins both games

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Bilibili Gaming sweeps EDward Gaming

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Anyone’s Legend sweeps EDward Gaming

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Bilibili Gaming sweeps JD Gaming

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Gen.G wins series 3-1

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SK Gaming wins series, GIANTX takes Game 2

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LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$62,063 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Fnatic
0¢
Karmine Corp
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-09 16:36 UTC

$20,000 on Karmine Corp at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-09 16:19 UTC

$30,357 on Karmine Corp at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-09 15:46 UTC

$2,000 on Karmine Corp at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-09 01:19 UTC

$7,966 on Karmine Corp at 89¢

89¢→100¢↑11¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-08 21:45 UTC

$1,740 on Karmine Corp at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

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Bilibili Gaming Wins Series and Games
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Hanwha wins series in 4+ games
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Bilibili Gaming will sweep Team WE
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Bilibili Gaming Wins Series and Games
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Karmine Corp wins both games
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Bilibili Gaming sweeps EDward Gaming
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