Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,970.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial sharp backs Karmine Corp

A highly experienced bettor with 2,085 resolved positions and an 18-point edge bought Karmine Corp amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 2,085 resolved trades and is up $648,500 lifetime.
  • The wallet has a documented 18-point edge over implied odds and trades across 342 events.
  • A $2,310 Karmine Corp buy at 77¢ coincided with a 51.9x volume spike; the price has since risen to 80¢.

$2,310 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp backs Karmine Corp

A highly experienced bettor with 965 resolved positions, a 78% win rate, and substantial edge bought Karmine Corp amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 965 resolved trades and is up $2.7 million lifetime.
  • The trade was supported by a 51.9x pre-event volume spike, indicating unusually strong market interest.
  • Karmine Corp was bought at 79¢, implying roughly a 21% perceived chance of loss despite the market already pricing them as favorites.

$3,203 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 82%

86% winner adds to Karmine

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate added $10,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 86% of 153 resolved trades and is up $594,205 lifetime.
  • They added $10,000 to an existing Karmine Corp position, showing continued conviction despite the price slipping to 80%.
  • The market saw a 51.9x volume spike, adding broader support to the directional move.

$10,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record bettor scaling into Karmine

A proven bettor with 27 straight wins and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Karmine Corp position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 100% of 27 resolved positions, with a 45-point edge over average implied odds.
  • They are adding to an existing Karmine Corp position near 79¢, while the market is pricing Karmine around 80%.
  • Trading activity was 51.9 times the recent average, reinforcing the directional signal despite the already-held position.

$1,823 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 100%

16-wallet cluster backs Karmine Corp

A 16-wallet, $66.6K one-sided Karmine Corp cluster includes several highly profitable serial traders and a 100% win-rate wallet, making this a strong esports conviction signal.

  • Sixteen wallets committed $66,634 to Karmine Corp, with most entries between 78¢ and 83¢.
  • Several participants have strong records, including one bettor at 78% across 965 bets and another at 100% across 27 bets.
  • The coordinated flow was accompanied by a 3,742x volume spike in a relatively quiet market, suggesting concentrated conviction rather than routine trading.

$66,634 on Karmine Corp

Top Holders

  1. 0x9671...3a70 — Fnatic, $14,443
  2. 0x531b...32b6 — Fnatic, $10,000 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x57b4...b46b — Fnatic, $7,500 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x3b4c...e850 — Fnatic, $6,379 (97% win rate)
  5. 0xd8bb...5610 — Fnatic, $5,234 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x00c8...9ccd — Fnatic, $4,000 (80% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 — Fnatic, $2,818 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x64c4...1018 — Fnatic, $2,500 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xfc92...5667 — Fnatic, $2,150 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x024c...5fa1 — Fnatic, $2,000 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

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Bilibili Gaming Wins Series and Games

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LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$83,970 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Fnatic
0¢
Karmine Corp
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-09 17:17 UTC

$2,310 on Karmine Corp at 77¢

77¢→100¢↑23¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-09 17:17 UTC

$3,203 on Karmine Corp at 79¢

79¢→100¢↑21¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-09 17:17 UTC

$10,000 on Karmine Corp at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-09 17:17 UTC

$1,823 on Karmine Corp at 79¢

79¢→100¢↑21¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

2026-08-09 17:11 UTC

$66,634 on Karmine Corp at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

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