Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,049.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors doubling down on Fnatic

Two highly profitable esports bettors with 89% and 93% win rates added $12.5K to existing Fnatic positions despite the market falling to 22%, creating a notable high-conviction but already-underwater trade.

  • Two bettors with 89% and 93% win rates, up $415K and $67K respectively, are backing Fnatic.
  • Three wallets added $13,549 at 36–38¢ while Fnatic traded down to 22%, signaling strong conviction despite adverse price movement.
  • The sharpest wallets already held substantial Fnatic positions, so this is an aggressive add rather than a fresh entry.

$21,208 on Fnatic

Serial sharp bettor backs Movistar KOI

A highly profitable serial trader added to Movistar KOI at 65% alongside a three-wallet one-sided cluster during an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 97 resolved trades and is up $52,685, while buying at average prices near 67%.
  • They added $2,015 to an existing Movistar KOI position at 65%, showing increased conviction as three wallets bought the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged to 215 times its historical average, and Movistar KOI has since risen to roughly 78%.

$2,015 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 87%

Three-wallet KOI buying surge

Three wallets added $6,733 to Movistar KOI amid a 301x volume spike, with two established profitable bettors supporting the position.

  • Three wallets added $6,733 to Movistar KOI, while market volume surged to 301.7 times its historical average.
  • Two participating bettors are consistently profitable, with 56% and 61% win rates and combined lifetime profits exceeding $650,000.
  • All three wallets already held KOI and increased their positions, so this is stronger as confirmation than as a fresh entry signal.

$6,733 on Movistar KOI

89% winner adds to Fnatic

A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial existing Fnatic position added during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 37 resolved positions and is up $415,535 lifetime.
  • The $3,000 Fnatic purchase adds to an existing $27,105 position, signaling continued conviction despite the price falling to 31%.
  • Trading activity was 339.8 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest around the match.

$3,000 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% winner backs Fnatic underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and 34% edge is making a fresh $9,093 bet on Fnatic at 34%.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 622 resolved positions and earned $3.43M in profits.
  • They are taking Fnatic at 34%, despite the market currently giving Fnatic only a 34% chance.
  • The $9,093 position is a concentrated fresh bet from a serial cross-market trader active across 144 events.

$9,093 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 20270525, $88,961 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xe015...6ffd Outcome 20270525, $52,303 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 20270525, $47,529 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x3af1...d739 Outcome 20270525, $42,467 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 20270525, $42,076 (63% win rate)
  6. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 20270525, $34,584 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 20270525, $27,105 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x282f...7c4e Outcome 20270525, $10,000 (89% win rate)
  9. 0x9671...3a70 Outcome 20270525, $10,000
  10. 0x2ff2...c175 Outcome 20270525, $8,889 (78% win rate)

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LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

ResolvedLoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$42,049 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Movistar KOI
72¢
56¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6d ago

$21,208 on Fnatic at 38¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6d ago

$2,015 on Movistar KOI at 65¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6d ago

$6,733 on Movistar KOI at 64¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6d ago

$3,000 on Fnatic at 38¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

6d ago

$9,093 on Fnatic at 34¢

Related Theses