Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,357.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Fnatic buying cluster

Five wallets bought Fnatic amid a massive volume spike, although this trader's KOI sale was profit-taking rather than a fresh position.

  • Five wallets bought Fnatic in the same window, totaling $10,502 in coordinated one-sided flow.
  • Trading surged to nearly 3,000 times its recent average, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
  • This serial cross-market trader has 1,254 resolved bets, a 62% win rate, and $118,193 in realized profit, but the sale itself closed an existing KOI position.

$2,430 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 62%

Five-wallet Fnatic contrarian cluster

Five wallets made a coordinated $10.5K Fnatic bet amid an extreme volume spike, although the lead wallet has no demonstrated betting edge and the position has since fallen sharply.

  • Five wallets bought Fnatic for a combined $10,502, creating a strong one-sided signal in this esports market.
  • Trading volume spiked nearly 3,000 times above its recent average, suggesting an unusual burst of conviction before the match.
  • The lead bettor is profitable overall but wins only 50% of 1,945 resolved bets, and Fnatic has since fallen from 31¢ to 4¢.

$1,819 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 50%

Eight-wallet sharp KOI cluster

Eight wallets committed $22,355 to Movistar KOI, including several highly profitable bettors, creating a strong coordinated esports signal despite some existing positions.

  • Eight wallets bought $22,355 of Movistar KOI in a market with only $950 of 24-hour volume.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 100% across 40 bets, 91% across 1,400 bets, and 82% across 141 bets.
  • The coordinated entries near 58–60¢ preceded the outcome moving to about 63%, while some wallets were adding to existing KOI positions.

$22,348 on Movistar KOI

Serial trader makes thin-market whale bet

A serial, highly profitable trader made a fresh $5.1k Fnatic bet that dwarfs recent volume, supported by a major pre-event volume spike despite a non-exceptional win rate relative to entry odds.

  • A bettor with 2,099 resolved trades and $2.04M in reported profit placed a fresh $5,120 position on Fnatic.
  • The bet equals 539% of the market’s 24-hour volume and helped drive a 6,172x volume spike.
  • Fnatic was bought at 42¢, implying meaningful upside if the trader’s directional read is correct, though the price has since fallen to 37¢.

$5,120 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 71%

Serial bettor adds to Fnatic

A serial cross-market bettor with 1,328 resolved bets added to an existing Fnatic position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s historical edge is only moderate.

  • This bettor has traded 113 markets across 81 events, with 1,328 resolved bets and a 71% win rate.
  • The $1,640 purchase added to an existing $4,000 Fnatic position during a 6,172× pre-event volume spike.
  • Fnatic was bought at 41¢ and is now around 37¢, so the market has not yet validated the position.

$1,640 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 36298929, $55,919 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 36298929, $42,676 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x3954...22d9 Outcome 36298929, $14,286 (97% win rate)
  4. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 36298929, $5,835 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x2ff2...c175 Outcome 36298929, $5,287 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x3471...f17e Outcome 36298929, $3,529 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 36298929, $3,500 (40% win rate)
  8. 0xf496...fe79 Outcome 36298929, $3,478 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x2627...fa13 Outcome 36298929, $3,000 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x1fb8...5a88 Outcome 36298929, $2,874 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

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FURIA starts fast, LYON rebounds

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Hanjin BRION wins series comeback

Covers 3 related markets

BNK loses Game 1, wins series

Covers 3 related markets

Hanwha odd, Bilibili even

Covers 4 related markets

Fnatic wins series despite splitting games

Covers 3 related markets

Anyone’s Legend will sweep BLG

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G wins games and series

Covers 3 related markets

Hanjin Brion Sweeps Nongshim Red Force

Covers 3 related markets

Ninjas win series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$33,357 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Movistar KOI
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

6d ago

$2,430 on Fnatic at 19¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

6d ago

$1,819 on Fnatic at 31¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

6d ago

$22,348 on Movistar KOI at 59¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

6d ago

$5,120 on Fnatic at 42¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

6d ago

$1,640 on Fnatic at 41¢

Related Theses

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FURIA starts fast, LYON rebounds
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Hanjin BRION wins series comeback
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BNK loses Game 1, wins series
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Hanwha odd, Bilibili even
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Fnatic wins series despite splitting games
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Anyone’s Legend will sweep BLG
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Gen.G wins games and series
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Hanjin Brion Sweeps Nongshim Red Force
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Ninjas win series 2-1
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