LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

This Polymarket tracks the LEC Regular Season best-of-three League of Legends match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere, scheduled for April 25. Traders are pricing which team will win the BO3, with the market resolving to Fnatic or Natus Vincere based on the official match winner; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a result, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter also highlights smart money activity on this market, including recent whale and bettor signals.

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,277.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale backing NAVI

A 5-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is now putting another $3k into this esports side despite having only a tiny prior history, which makes it a notable new-wallet conviction signal.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts and has put about $6.2k to work
  • This trade is a fresh $3k buy on Natus Vincere at 67¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than profit-taking
  • The wallet's 4-0 record is too small to prove an edge, but repeated sizing from a brand-new account is still worth tracking

$3,007 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 4-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across multiple markets and just added another $2.1k position here, suggesting an active new bettor deploying real size despite having almost no resolved history.

  • This 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts and put $14.5k into flagged trades
  • This is a fresh $2.1k buy on Natus Vincere at 67¢, showing continued conviction rather than profit-taking
  • The bettor is very new and unproven, but the repeated sizing this quickly makes the flow worth tracking

$2,071 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Perfect-record bettor leads cluster

A proven high-volume winner with a 100% tracked record drove a $24k coordinated buy on Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, making this cluster worth following.

  • A bettor with a 139-0 tracked record and $609k profit put nearly $19.3k into Natus Vincere at 68¢
  • Three wallets bought the same side within 10 minutes for $24.2k total, showing clear one-way conviction
  • The market saw a 59.9x volume spike and Natus Vincere is already up 9.5 points on the day

$24,181 on Natus Vincere

Perfect-record esports bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 139-for-139 resolved record and $609k profit just put $10k on Natus Vincere, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor has won 139 of 139 resolved trades and is up $609k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 196 markets and 183 events, which looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • They just bought $10k of Natus Vincere at 68¢, a sizable bet backed by an exceptional track record.

$10,018 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xea2b...1fc6 Fnatic, $50,000 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x6185...2965 Natus Vincere, $28,843 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xdd92...6b2a Fnatic, $27,614 (43% win rate)
  4. 0x5a44...9cc6 Natus Vincere, $12,520 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xda3a...381f Fnatic, $11,558 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x9770...0ff5 Fnatic, $9,802 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x5e0e...bf45 Natus Vincere, $9,400 (34% win rate)
  8. 0xc6e5...26a5 Natus Vincere, $8,649
  9. 0xb40e...7787 Natus Vincere, $8,042 (42% win rate)
  10. 0x8705...edba Natus Vincere, $7,416 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

5h$39,277 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Fnatic
32¢
Natus Vincere
69¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
84¢
74¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

33m ago

$3,007 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢69¢2¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

54m ago

$2,071 on Natus Vincere at 67¢

67¢69¢2¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

3h ago

$24,181 on Natus Vincere at 68¢

68¢69¢1¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

3h ago

$10,018 on Natus Vincere at 68¢

68¢69¢1¢

Related Theses