LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the League of Legends LEC Regular Season match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere, scheduled for April 25. The market resolves to whichever team wins Game 2, even if the full match is not completed afterward. PolySpotter data shows notable smart money activity on Fnatic, with recent sharp-cluster and profitable-wallet alerts backing that side.

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,112.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner leads underdog cluster

Three wallets piled $21.4k into the underdog side, led by a bettor with a 98% win rate and $3.3M profit, making this coordinated contrarian esports flow worth watching despite the market moving against them afterward.

  • A bettor who wins 98% of their trades and is up $3.3M led this $21.4k buy cluster on Fnatic.
  • Three wallets all bought the same underdog outcome around 36-41¢, showing coordinated conviction before Fnatic fell to 14¢.
  • Two of the wallets are heavy repeat traders across dozens of events, so this is not random one-off esports action.

$21,352 on Fnatic

Profitable cluster buyer

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Natus Vincere before a sharp move from 64¢ to 86¢.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 63 resolved markets and is up $42k lifetime.
  • Four wallets all bought Natus Vincere together, signaling shared conviction on the same side.
  • The buy came at 64¢ and the market is now 86¢, so this trade already caught a big move.

$1,266 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp cluster caught big move

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong realized track record bought Natus Vincere alongside 3 other wallets before the price jumped from 59¢ to 86¢.

  • This bettor has 596 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $263k lifetime
  • Four wallets all bought Natus Vincere together for $6.9k, which is a strong one-way signal
  • The entry was 59¢ and the market is now 86¢, so this trade already captured a big price move

$1,568 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 63%

98% winner buys Fnatic

A proven elite bettor with a 98% win rate and $3.3M profit made a large fresh buy on Fnatic alongside two other wallets during a major volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 98% of their resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime across 380 bets.
  • They bought $10.7k of Fnatic at 41¢, and 3 wallets together put nearly $15.9k on the same side.
  • This wallet repeatedly trades across related markets with a strong track record, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$10,720 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 98%

6-wallet esports cluster

Six wallets piled into Natus Vincere for $13.2k during a huge pre-match volume spike, and the cluster includes multiple large-volume profitable traders with long cross-market histories.

  • Six wallets all bought Natus Vincere for $13.2k in the same window as market volume surged 144x.
  • Two of the bettors have strong records, including one up $263k with a 63% win rate and another up $42k with a 67% win rate.
  • They entered around 58-64¢ and the market is now 64¢, showing coordinated conviction rather than a random one-off bet.

$13,248 on Natus Vincere

Sharp cluster backing Fnatic

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record joined a 3-wallet coordinated buy into Fnatic during an unusual pre-match volume surge, making this underdog entry worth watching.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,068 resolved markets and is up $260k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Fnatic together for $15.9k as market activity jumped 144x above normal.
  • They entered at 40¢ on the underdog, well above the current 32¢ price, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer.

$1,958 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x996a...e3cc Natus Vincere, $73,875 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xec92...6b59 Fnatic, $33,332
  3. 0x3833...33d1 Fnatic, $30,773 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xfc25...1f7f Natus Vincere, $22,489 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x2cad...eb66 Fnatic, $19,625 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x93cc...6ffc Natus Vincere, $18,000
  7. 0xf68a...5b1b Natus Vincere, $14,580 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x01e6...e7e0 Fnatic, $14,447 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x84ad...bfb7 Fnatic, $10,753 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x2037...473d Natus Vincere, $10,500 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Resolved$50,112 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Fnatic
0¢
Natus Vincere
100¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
75¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

4h ago

$21,352 on Fnatic at 39¢

39¢0¢39¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

4h ago

$1,266 on Natus Vincere at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

4h ago

$1,568 on Natus Vincere at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

5h ago

$10,720 on Fnatic at 41¢

41¢0¢41¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

5h ago

$13,248 on Natus Vincere at 62¢

62¢100¢38¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

5h ago

$1,958 on Fnatic at 40¢

40¢0¢40¢

Related Theses