Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

This League of Legends prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Fnatic and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, scheduled for August 22, 2026. The market resolves to Fnatic or Shifters based on the completed Game 1; live odds and smart money activity are available on the market page.

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,752.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp 11-wallet Fnatic cluster

An 11-wallet $26.8K Fnatic cluster includes several highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edge, though the market has already risen to 96%.

  • Eleven wallets committed $26,752 to Fnatic, including bettors with 82%, 89%, and 100% historical win rates.
  • Several participants have meaningful long-term records, including 225, 104, and 22 resolved positions with entries well below implied odds.
  • Fnatic has surged 25.5 percentage points to 96%, so the original 67–73¢ entries look compelling but chasing at the current price is unattractive.

$26,752 on Fnatic

Sharp bettor scales into Fnatic

A proven, highly profitable cross-market bettor is adding $12,000 to an existing Fnatic position in a thinly traded match market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 119 resolved trades, with a $145,018 profit and a 62¢ average winning entry price.
  • They added $12,000 to Fnatic at 72¢, an unusually large bet versus just $943 in 24-hour volume.
  • The existing Fnatic position shows this is increased conviction rather than a one-off trade, and the bettor has traded 103 markets across 61 events.

$12,000 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd30...f316 Shifters, $70,242 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xf201...527e Fnatic, $66,271 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x7a3f...a807 Shifters, $21,800
  4. 0x6842...20d0 Shifters, $18,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xd391...b109 Fnatic, $16,624 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x0587...c40b Shifters, $15,840 (87% win rate)
  7. 0x7635...63f6 Fnatic, $15,000 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xfc25...1f7f Fnatic, $12,692 (94% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Fnatic, $10,259 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xf23c...9f81 Fnatic, $9,893 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

G2 Esports Win Both Games

Covers 2 related markets

Solary will beat TLN Pirates

Covers 2 related markets

Galions Win Game 1

Covers 1 related market

CA Independiente will win

Covers 1 related market

Dplus KIA Challengers Win Series

Covers 1 related market

DN SOOPers sweep T1 series

Covers 4 related markets

Cloud9 Sweeps Disguised Series

Covers 3 related markets

Sentinels Win LoL Series

Covers 1 related market

BNK FEARX Wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Karmine Corp wins both games

Covers 2 related markets

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$38,752 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Fnatic
100¢
Shifters
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Fnatic
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$26,752 on Fnatic at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

1d ago

$12,000 on Fnatic at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

Related Theses