Part of: LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,334.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports thesis trader

A profitable high-volume cross-market trader sold SK Gaming at 18¢ equivalent to buying Fnatic at 82¢ as this market saw a major pre-match volume and price spike.

  • This wallet has 433 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up about $106.8k overall
  • The trade sold SK Gaming at 18¢, which is equivalent to buying Fnatic at 82¢ in this binary market
  • This market saw a 38x volume spike and a 20-point move, so the bettor is trading into a fast-moving setup

$1,230 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 56%

11-wallet Fnatic cluster

An 11-wallet funded cluster piled into Fnatic with $25.8k during a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, and several of the wallets have substantial profitable track records.

  • 11 wallets lined up on Fnatic for $25.8k total, including 10 wallets linked to the same funder.
  • The market saw a 48.5x volume spike and Fnatic jumped about 28 points, showing strong momentum behind the move.
  • Several wallets in the cluster have real history, including one up $972k with a 76% win rate and another up $166k lifetime.

$25,759 on Fnatic

Linked wallets slam SK

A 5-wallet linked cluster piled more than $10k into SK Gaming and helped drive a sharp repricing from 21¢ to 51¢ in a relatively shallow market.

  • Five linked wallets all bet SK Gaming in the same burst, putting in $10.3k total.
  • Two of the buys hit at 21¢ before SK Gaming jumped to 51%, a fast repricing that suggests strong conviction.
  • The market is only about $6.6k deep, so this coordinated flow was large enough to move price hard.

$10,324 on SK Gaming

76% winner in 8-wallet surge

A high-volume cross-market winner with a 76% hit rate bought Fnatic well below the current price as 8 wallets piled into the same side and pushed the market sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 1,230 resolved trades and is up about $972k lifetime
  • They bought Fnatic at 59¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢ after an 8-wallet, $19.8k one-sided push
  • Volume surged over 1000x normal activity, suggesting coordinated conviction ahead of the match

$1,942 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 74%

8-wallet Fnatic pile-in

Coordinated buying hit Fnatic before a sharp move higher, and this wallet has a long profitable cross-market track record despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • 8 wallets bought Fnatic together for nearly $19.8k, a strong one-way push on this market
  • This wallet has 958 resolved bets and is up $165.6k overall, showing a real track record
  • They bought at 59¢ before Fnatic jumped to 72¢, locking in a fast 13-point move

$1,581 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 59%

8-wallet Fnatic surge

A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Fnatic at 43¢ before a coordinated 8-wallet surge pushed the price to 72%, making this a strong momentum and sharp-flow signal.

  • Eight wallets piled into Fnatic for nearly $19.8k total, a strong one-way signal on this game.
  • This wallet has made 433 resolved bets and is up $106.8k lifetime, so this is not random action.
  • The buy went in at 43¢ and Fnatic now trades at 72¢ after a 27-point jump, showing the move was early and well-timed.

$993 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 56%

6-wallet Fnatic pile-in

Six wallets piled into Fnatic for $16.2k within minutes, led by at least one very strong bettor with a 76% win rate and entries as low as 35¢ before the market jumped to 70¢.

  • Six wallets bought Fnatic for $16.2k in a tight burst, and the price quickly ran from 59¢ to 70¢.
  • One of the main buyers wins 76% of their bets and is up about $972k across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
  • The earliest buy came at 35¢, so these entries imply they saw Fnatic as badly underpriced before the move.

$16,230 on Fnatic

5-wallet SK Gaming push

A proven profitable sports trader bought SK Gaming alongside 4 other wallets during a sharp pre-match volume surge and 20-point price move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • Five wallets bought SK Gaming together for $8.4k as money rushed into this market.
  • This wallet is up $106.8k lifetime across 433 resolved bets, so the bettor has a real track record.
  • They got in at 46¢ before a fast 20-point move, which implied a much higher win chance than the market shows now.

$1,066 on SK Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%

6-wallet SK pile-in

Six wallets piled into SK Gaming within minutes, pushing the price about 20 points in a high-volume pre-match move, and several of the wallets have long profitable histories.

  • Six wallets all bet SK Gaming in a $9.5k burst, and the price jumped from roughly 32¢ to 42¢ in about 5 minutes.
  • Several of these wallets have strong long-term results, including bettors up $119k, $166k, and $107k lifetime.
  • Most of the flow hit when SK was priced well below even odds, suggesting they saw clear value before the market repriced.

$9,484 on SK Gaming

76% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate bought SK Gaming at 33¢, a meaningful underdog price, and the bet was large relative to recent activity in this market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their resolved trades and is up about $972k across 1,230 bets
  • They bought SK Gaming at 33¢, implying they see the underdog as mispriced at roughly a 3-to-1 payout
  • This $2.7k buy was 77% of recent market volume, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer

$2,724 on SK Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc690...42b8 Outcome 96795285, $76,319 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x6204...0b06 Outcome 96795285, $5,442 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x31b5...6128 Outcome 96795285, $3,991 (74% win rate)
  4. 0xc3b8...b4d8 Outcome 96795285, $3,405 (53% win rate)
  5. 0xeffd...5a86 Outcome 96795285, $3,000 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 96795285, $2,870 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x19b6...ad8e Outcome 96795285, $2,586 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x7a0f...1305 Outcome 96795285, $1,924 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x9c4d...168c Outcome 96795285, $1,353 (44% win rate)
  10. 0x248d...2885 Outcome 96795285, $1,349 (87% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$71,334 tracked10 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 13 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,230 on Fnatic at 82¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$25,759 on Fnatic at 59¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$10,324 on SK Gaming at 21¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,942 on Fnatic at 59¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,581 on Fnatic at 59¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$993 on Fnatic at 43¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$16,230 on Fnatic at 59¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,066 on SK Gaming at 46¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$9,484 on SK Gaming at 42¢

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$2,724 on SK Gaming at 33¢

Related Theses