LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the LEC Regular Season match between Fnatic and SK Gaming, scheduled for April 13. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 1, even if the full match is not completed, as long as Game 1 finishes with a winner. PolySpotter users can follow current odds, smart money activity, and recent wallet clusters backing both Fnatic and SK Gaming.
This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 13 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,334.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports thesis trader
A profitable high-volume cross-market trader sold SK Gaming at 18¢ equivalent to buying Fnatic at 82¢ as this market saw a major pre-match volume and price spike.
- This wallet has 433 resolved bets, wins 58% of them, and is up about $106.8k overall
- The trade sold SK Gaming at 18¢, which is equivalent to buying Fnatic at 82¢ in this binary market
- This market saw a 38x volume spike and a 20-point move, so the bettor is trading into a fast-moving setup
$1,230 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 58%
11-wallet Fnatic cluster
An 11-wallet funded cluster piled into Fnatic with $25.8k during a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, and several of the wallets have substantial profitable track records.
- 11 wallets lined up on Fnatic for $25.8k total, including 10 wallets linked to the same funder.
- The market saw a 48.5x volume spike and Fnatic jumped about 28 points, showing strong momentum behind the move.
- Several wallets in the cluster have real history, including one up $972k with a 76% win rate and another up $166k lifetime.
$25,759 on Fnatic
Linked wallets slam SK
A 5-wallet linked cluster piled more than $10k into SK Gaming and helped drive a sharp repricing from 21¢ to 51¢ in a relatively shallow market.
- Five linked wallets all bet SK Gaming in the same burst, putting in $10.3k total.
- Two of the buys hit at 21¢ before SK Gaming jumped to 51%, a fast repricing that suggests strong conviction.
- The market is only about $6.6k deep, so this coordinated flow was large enough to move price hard.
$10,324 on SK Gaming
76% winner in 8-wallet surge
A high-volume cross-market winner with a 76% hit rate bought Fnatic well below the current price as 8 wallets piled into the same side and pushed the market sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 76% of 1,230 resolved trades and is up about $972k lifetime
- They bought Fnatic at 59¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢ after an 8-wallet, $19.8k one-sided push
- Volume surged over 1000x normal activity, suggesting coordinated conviction ahead of the match
$1,942 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 76%
8-wallet Fnatic pile-in
Coordinated buying hit Fnatic before a sharp move higher, and this wallet has a long profitable cross-market track record despite the market being fairly liquid.
- 8 wallets bought Fnatic together for nearly $19.8k, a strong one-way push on this market
- This wallet has 958 resolved bets and is up $165.6k overall, showing a real track record
- They bought at 59¢ before Fnatic jumped to 72¢, locking in a fast 13-point move
$1,581 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 59%
8-wallet Fnatic surge
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Fnatic at 43¢ before a coordinated 8-wallet surge pushed the price to 72%, making this a strong momentum and sharp-flow signal.
- Eight wallets piled into Fnatic for nearly $19.8k total, a strong one-way signal on this game.
- This wallet has made 433 resolved bets and is up $106.8k lifetime, so this is not random action.
- The buy went in at 43¢ and Fnatic now trades at 72¢ after a 27-point jump, showing the move was early and well-timed.
$993 on Fnatic | Wallet win rate: 58%
6-wallet Fnatic pile-in
Six wallets piled into Fnatic for $16.2k within minutes, led by at least one very strong bettor with a 76% win rate and entries as low as 35¢ before the market jumped to 70¢.
- Six wallets bought Fnatic for $16.2k in a tight burst, and the price quickly ran from 59¢ to 70¢.
- One of the main buyers wins 76% of their bets and is up about $972k across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
- The earliest buy came at 35¢, so these entries imply they saw Fnatic as badly underpriced before the move.
$16,230 on Fnatic
5-wallet SK Gaming push
A proven profitable sports trader bought SK Gaming alongside 4 other wallets during a sharp pre-match volume surge and 20-point price move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the market later moving against the entry.
- Five wallets bought SK Gaming together for $8.4k as money rushed into this market.
- This wallet is up $106.8k lifetime across 433 resolved bets, so the bettor has a real track record.
- They got in at 46¢ before a fast 20-point move, which implied a much higher win chance than the market shows now.
$1,066 on SK Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
6-wallet SK pile-in
Six wallets piled into SK Gaming within minutes, pushing the price about 20 points in a high-volume pre-match move, and several of the wallets have long profitable histories.
- Six wallets all bet SK Gaming in a $9.5k burst, and the price jumped from roughly 32¢ to 42¢ in about 5 minutes.
- Several of these wallets have strong long-term results, including bettors up $119k, $166k, and $107k lifetime.
- Most of the flow hit when SK was priced well below even odds, suggesting they saw clear value before the market repriced.
$9,484 on SK Gaming
76% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate bought SK Gaming at 33¢, a meaningful underdog price, and the bet was large relative to recent activity in this market.
- This bettor wins 76% of their resolved trades and is up about $972k across 1,230 bets
- They bought SK Gaming at 33¢, implying they see the underdog as mispriced at roughly a 3-to-1 payout
- This $2.7k buy was 77% of recent market volume, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer
$2,724 on SK Gaming | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xc690...42b8 — Fnatic, $76,319 (82% win rate)
- 0xb489...de6b — SK Gaming, $40,841 (99% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — SK Gaming, $40,113 (76% win rate)
- 0xa995...1be0 — SK Gaming, $19,532
- 0x01e6...e7e0 — Fnatic, $15,537 (40% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — SK Gaming, $10,867 (48% win rate)
- 0x2586...f071 — SK Gaming, $10,053 (61% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — SK Gaming, $9,252 (48% win rate)
- 0xfc92...2e78 — SK Gaming, $8,287 (69% win rate)
- 0x8d9f...787a — SK Gaming, $7,649 (82% win rate)
