Part of: LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $169,720.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports, LoL Worlds 2026, Play-in

Notable Trades

11-wallet MVK coordinated flow

Eleven wallets committed $74,003 to MVK amid a 260× volume spike and sharp price movement, with several participants showing profitable track records.

  • Eleven wallets put $74,003 on MVK as volume surged to 260× its historical average.
  • The coordinated buying coincided with MVK rising about 45 percentage points; several wallets also have substantial positive lifetime P&L.
  • MVK is now priced at 100%, so the original 67¢ entry is no longer available at the suggested ceiling.

$74,003 on MVK Esports

15-wallet FURIA cluster with proven bettors

A large, linked 15-wallet FURIA position includes several highly profitable bettors, though substantial opposing MVK buying makes the market’s overall signal mixed.

  • 15 wallets put $57,565 into FURIA, including seven linked by a shared funder.
  • Several bettors have strong records, including one with a 90% win rate across 236 resolved positions.
  • There is also substantial MVK buying, so the broader market flow is divided.

$57,565 on FURIA Esports

Serial trader adds heavily to MVK

An established cross-market trader added about $15.7K to an existing MVK position near 36¢, an unusually large bet relative to recent market volume, though the trader's record shows no clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • The trader added about $15,700 to an existing MVK position at roughly 36¢, bringing their total reported stake to over $64,000.
  • The trades amounted to about 117 times the market's normalized average volume, signaling a sharp burst of buying.
  • The wallet has 270 resolved bets and is up about $3,080, but its 66% win rate does not clearly establish an edge at its average winning price.

$4,810 on MVK Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable cross-market bettor adding to FURIA

A profitable, active cross-market trader added to an existing FURIA position during a sharp volume spike, though their overall win rate does not clearly beat their average winning odds.

  • This trader is up $158,469 across 72 resolved bets and has traded across 32 events.
  • The bet came during a 119× volume spike, and they already held $4,336 of FURIA at the same entry price.

$2,831 on FURIA Esports | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial trader adds heavily to MVK

An established cross-market trader added about $15.7K to an existing MVK position near 36¢, an unusually large bet relative to recent market volume, though the trader's record shows no clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • The trader added about $15,700 to an existing MVK position at roughly 36¢, bringing their total reported stake to over $64,000.
  • The trades amounted to about 117 times the market's normalized average volume, signaling a sharp burst of buying.
  • The wallet has 270 resolved bets and is up about $3,080, but its 66% win rate does not clearly establish an edge at its average winning price.

$15,716 on MVK Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%

Serial trader adds to $48K MVK position

A serial cross-market trader added $10,906 to an already substantial MVK position, showing concentrated conviction despite no clear odds-adjusted edge in the track record.

  • Added another $10,906 to an existing $48,470 MVK position at 36¢.
  • This trader has placed bets across 101 events, but the 66% win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning odds.

$10,906 on MVK Esports | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial bettor adds to FURIA

An established, profitable cross-market bettor added a substantial FURIA position, with the trade representing nearly all recent market volume.

  • This bettor is up nearly $499K across 660 resolved bets and has a 72% win rate.
  • They added $3,888 to an existing FURIA position at 68¢, nearly matching the market’s entire 24-hour volume.

$3,888 on FURIA Esports | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe015...6ffd — FURIA Esports, $44,444 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x6100...ed95 — FURIA Esports, $33,661 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x000e...f7e9 — FURIA Esports, $28,000 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xe2d0...7bbf — FURIA Esports, $27,330 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xc44f...d49f — FURIA Esports, $25,959 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xf68a...5b1b — FURIA Esports, $15,000 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x5784...2371 — FURIA Esports, $13,502 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xce7d...898e — FURIA Esports, $12,697 (66% win rate)
  9. 0x17f1...af18 — FURIA Esports, $11,555 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x4873...15ba — FURIA Esports, $8,422 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

LGD wins series after split

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Bilibili wins both, LGD advances

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Hanwha Life wins comeback series

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KT Rolster beats Team Vitality

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Anyone’s Legend sweeps LGD Gaming

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Dplus leads early, KT rallies

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Natus Vincere will sweep SK Gaming

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Bilibili Gaming sweeps EDward Gaming

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Nongshim wins series and Games 2, 4

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Invictus wins series after split

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In$169,720 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSportsLoL Worlds 2026Play-in
FURIA Esports
0¢
MVK Esports
100¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between FURIA Esports and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against MVK Esports. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 23:49 UTC

$74,003 on MVK Esports at 67¢

67¢→100¢↑33¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 23:21 UTC

$57,565 on FURIA Esports at 60¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 23:12 UTC

$4,810 on MVK Esports at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 23:16 UTC

$2,831 on FURIA Esports at 65¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 23:07 UTC

$15,716 on MVK Esports at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 22:59 UTC

$10,906 on MVK Esports at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner

2026-10-15 21:39 UTC

$3,888 on FURIA Esports at 68¢

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LGD wins series after split
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