Part of: LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 3 winner between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs upper bracket final. It resolves to the team that wins Game 3, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $2,566 in smart money and 1 recent smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 3 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 3 against G2 Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,900.
Categories: Games, Sports, Esports, league of legends
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought G2 at 79¢ before the market moved to 100%, backed by a strong event-level positioning pattern and volume spike.
- This bettor has won 67% of 667 resolved bets and is up $847K lifetime.
- They have traded across 243 events with $1.68M in similar cross-market activity.
- Bought G2 at 79¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong timing on this match.
$5,654 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought G2 at 90¢ across a broader event thesis, and the market has since moved to 100¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,602 resolved bets and about $397K in lifetime profit.
- They were active across 3 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 90¢ has already moved to 100¢, so the edge appears to have closed unless price falls back.
$4,500 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable esports cluster
Seven profitable, high-volume esports wallets bought $38k of G2 in a coordinated move, driving the price sharply higher amid a major volume spike.
- Seven wallets all bought G2, putting $38k on the same side as the price jumped from the mid-60¢ range to 90¢.
- Several bettors have strong long-term profits, including wallets up $847k, $480k, and $397k lifetime.
- Volume spiked 105x normal, suggesting this was a concentrated move rather than routine market noise.
$38,180 on G2 Esports
Profitable serial event bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader with $480k lifetime P&L is buying G2 at 66¢ despite only a weak composite signal.
- This bettor is up $480k across 477 resolved markets, with a 59% hit rate.
- They have traded 88 related events for about $715k, suggesting a repeatable event-betting process.
- They bought G2 at 66¢ after the market moved 11 points toward G2.
$2,566 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x4916...5442 — G2 Esports, $60,025 (71% win rate)
- 0xfc25...1f7f — G2 Esports, $49,867 (95% win rate)
- 0xec92...6b59 — Karmine Corp, $33,333
- 0xd202...8973 — Karmine Corp, $20,010 (44% win rate)
- 0xb635...bef0 — Karmine Corp, $12,932 (45% win rate)
- 0x60d0...e05f — Karmine Corp, $10,719 (48% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — G2 Esports, $10,718 (59% win rate)
- 0x6204...0b06 — Karmine Corp, $10,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — G2 Esports, $8,798 (67% win rate)
- 0x3186...e9ca — G2 Esports, $7,041 (59% win rate)
Related Theses
G2 sweeps Karmine Corp
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GamerLegion sweeps Liquid
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