Part of: LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
This prediction market covers the League of Legends best-of-three match between G2 Esports and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution scheduled for May 14, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,563 in smart money across 1 signal.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between G2 Esports and Natus Vincere in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,557.
Categories: league of legends, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
88% winner backs favorite
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying the favorite despite only a modest signal score.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $9,254 lifetime.
- They have beaten typical market odds by a wide margin, winning often despite average entries around 63¢.
- They bought G2 at 78¢ in an active market, signaling confidence the favorite is still underpriced.
$1,563 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 88%
77% serial cross-market bettor
A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and +$260k lifetime P&L bought $5k of G2 at 79¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $260k lifetime.
- They have traded across 290 events with over $5.0M total deployed.
- A $5k buy at 79¢ backs the current favorite despite the market already moving up 4% today.
$5,000 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 77%
78% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large 808-bet history and 78% win rate bought G2 at 78%, though lifetime P&L is negative and the entry is on a favorite.
- This bettor has won 78% of 808 resolved bets across 346 events.
- They have traded over $2.3M in serial cross-market positions, suggesting a specialized repeat strategy.
- They bought G2 at 78¢ as the market has moved up about 6 points in the last day.
$1,994 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x8e8c...65dd — G2 Esports, $7,078 (48% win rate)
- 0x85d5...45ee — G2 Esports, $6,329 (77% win rate)
- 0xa2c9...2c23 — G2 Esports, $5,157 (78% win rate)
- 0x74a8...df59 — Natus Vincere, $4,558 (46% win rate)
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — G2 Esports, $4,500 (62% win rate)
- 0xa1b6...e0a0 — Natus Vincere, $4,449 (100% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — Natus Vincere, $4,000
- 0x3555...ba40 — G2 Esports, $3,594 (93% win rate)
- 0x88b0...f8d8 — Natus Vincere, $3,003 (61% win rate)
- 0x8261...a3f1 — Natus Vincere, $2,922 (68% win rate)
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