Part of: LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

This League of Legends prediction market covers the best-of-five LEC Playoffs lower-bracket quarterfinal between GIANTX and Natus Vincere, scheduled for September 11, 2026. The market resolves to the match winner, with $1,352 in tracked smart-money activity; live outcome odds were not included in the supplied metadata.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $160,896.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven bettor scales into Natus Vincere

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and $917,576 profit is adding to an existing Natus Vincere position at 61%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 2,401 resolved trades and is up $917,576 lifetime.
  • They are adding $4,880 to an existing $8,000 Natus Vincere position, showing increased conviction.
  • The 61¢ entry is near the market price, with a liquid 1¢ spread and substantial trading volume.

$1,352 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Two-sided whale battle

A major 12-wallet Natus Vincere push coincided with a 226x volume spike and a sharp price move, though an equally large linked GIANTX cluster makes the signal contested.

  • 12 wallets committed about $77,000 to Natus Vincere, with several established profitable bettors participating.
  • Trading surged to 226 times its historical average, while Natus Vincere rose roughly 17 percentage points.
  • The signal is contested: 17 linked wallets also put about $74,000 on GIANTX, creating a rare two-sided whale battle.

$68,972 on Natus Vincere

Sharp linked cluster buying GIANTX

A coordinated 13-wallet GIANTX position includes several highly profitable bettors with exceptional win rates, despite opposing Natus Vincere flow.

  • Thirteen wallets deployed $66,897 on GIANTX, including a linked-funder cluster and multiple bettors with substantial prior positions.
  • Several participants have exceptional records: 86% wins at 42% average odds, 87% at 46%, and 97% at 53%.
  • The group bought around 41–44% while GIANTX trades near 44%, indicating meaningful conviction in the underdog side.

$66,897 on GIANTX

Proven bettor scales into Natus Vincere

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and $917,576 profit is adding to an existing Natus Vincere position at 61%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 2,401 resolved trades and is up $917,576 lifetime.
  • They are adding $4,880 to an existing $8,000 Natus Vincere position, showing increased conviction.
  • The 61¢ entry is near the market price, with a liquid 1¢ spread and substantial trading volume.

$4,725 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor backs Natus Vincere

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 76% win rate made a concentrated Natus Vincere purchase amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 2,025 resolved trades and has earned $2.86M in profit.
  • They concentrated nearly $7,000 on Natus Vincere at 61¢, matching a strong directional view.
  • Market volume was 140x its historical average, adding unusual activity to the trade.

$6,978 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven bettor scales into Natus Vincere

A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and $917,576 profit is adding to an existing Natus Vincere position at 61%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 2,401 resolved trades and is up $917,576 lifetime.
  • They are adding $4,880 to an existing $8,000 Natus Vincere position, showing increased conviction.
  • The 61¢ entry is near the market price, with a liquid 1¢ spread and substantial trading volume.

$4,880 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial sharp backing Natus Vincere

A highly experienced, profitable bettor with a 76% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Natus Vincere at 59 cents.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 2,025 resolved trades and is up $2.86 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 847 events and 1,217 markets, indicating a deeply experienced sports-market participant.
  • Natus Vincere was bought at 59¢, below the current 60% market estimate and with room for a favorable entry up to 69¢.

$2,687 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 76%

Elite serial bettor buys GIANTX

A highly proven cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and $1.8 million in profits is making a fresh $1,111 bet on GIANTX at 41%.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 864 resolved positions and is up $1.8 million overall.
  • The wallet has traded across 487 events, indicating a broad and sustained track record rather than a one-off bet.
  • The fresh GIANTX position was bought at 41%, below the 60% market price for Natus Vincere and near the current 40% bid.

$1,111 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 84%

91% win-rate esports specialist

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is taking Natus Vincere at 57%.

  • This bettor has won 228 of 251 resolved positions and earned over $1.09 million.
  • They are buying Natus Vincere at 57%, despite a 63% average winning entry price across their history.
  • The $3,293 position is a fresh, directional esports trade from a serial trader active across 94 events.

$3,293 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 53423516, $70,975 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x5286...0d47 Outcome 53423516, $50,000 (38% win rate)
  3. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 53423516, $32,773 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x000e...f7e9 Outcome 53423516, $23,000 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 53423516, $22,658 (70% win rate)
  6. 0xe2d0...7bbf Outcome 53423516, $20,854 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xf23c...9f81 Outcome 53423516, $20,777 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xda3a...381f Outcome 53423516, $17,863 (62% win rate)
  9. 0x0a63...fc03 Outcome 53423516, $17,432 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x6842...20d0 Outcome 53423516, $15,954 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

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Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Norway England turns into shootout

Covers 4 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

ResolvedLoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$160,896 tracked9 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against GIANTX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
77¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

13h ago

$1,352 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

13h ago

$68,972 on Natus Vincere at 64¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

13h ago

$66,897 on GIANTX at 42¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

13h ago

$4,725 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

17h ago

$6,978 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

17h ago

$4,880 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

19h ago

$2,687 on Natus Vincere at 59¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

20h ago

$1,111 on GIANTX at 41¢

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

21h ago

$3,293 on Natus Vincere at 57¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Norway England turns into shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Both Teams…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…