Part of: LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,377.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

12-wallet GIANTX accumulation

A 12-wallet, $52.9K GIANTX accumulation campaign and extreme volume spike are notable, although the thesis has been contradicted by a sharp move from roughly 50% to 21%.

Twelve wallets committed $52,876 to GIANTX, including several highly profitable bettors with lifetime profits above $100,000.
The buying arrived during a 5,848x volume spike in a thin market, with individual bets exceeding the reported 24-hour volume.
GIANTX has since fallen from 45–52% entry prices to about 21%, making this a notable high-conviction thesis to study rather than a validated winning signal.

$52,876 on GIANTX

10-wallet GIANTX buying cluster

A 10-wallet GIANTX cluster and extreme volume spike support this large add-on position in a thin esports market, despite the lead bettor currently being underwater.

Ten wallets are betting GIANTX, totaling $45,489 in coordinated one-sided buying.
Trading activity spiked to 11,810 times the recent average in a market with only $1,620 of 24-hour volume.
The lead bettor added $10,855 to an existing GIANTX position and has a 65% win rate across 358 resolved trades.

$10,855 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 65%

10-wallet GIANTX buying cluster

A coordinated 10-wallet GIANTX position totaling $45,489, backed by a serial trader with 664 resolved bets, creates a strong directional signal despite the lead wallet's modest edge over its average winning price.

Ten wallets bought GIANTX for a combined $45,489, far exceeding the market's $1,620 in 24-hour volume.
The lead bettor has won 69% of 664 resolved trades and is adding to an existing GIANTX position.
Trading activity spiked more than 11,000 times above the recent average, while the market still offers GIANTX near 46¢ after the bettor entered at 52¢.

$3,000 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp wallets pile into Natus

A large, highly unusual Natus Vincere buying wave includes several exceptionally profitable bettors, though substantial opposing GIANTX positioning makes the signal less clean.

Eleven wallets bought $53,059 of Natus Vincere against just $1,620 in 24-hour market volume.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 90–91% win rates and lifetime profits above $995,000.
The signal is partly conflicted: ten wallets also bought GIANTX, suggesting some traders may be hedging or rebalancing positions.

$27,042 on Natus Vincere

Sharp bettor scaling into GIANTX

A proven high-edge bettor added to an existing GIANTX position with a large trade that drove nearly all recent market volume.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $165,177 lifetime, buying at average odds of 56%.
The $1,604 purchase at 43¢ added to a much larger GIANTX position and represented 99% of 24-hour volume.
GIANTX has since risen to roughly 50%, but the trade remains copyable below the suggested 53¢ ceiling.

$1,604 on GIANTX | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0x5286...0d47 — Outcome 87161551, $37,833 (38% win rate)
0xef80...e64a — Outcome 87161551, $23,989 (87% win rate)
0x6842...20d0 — Outcome 87161551, $21,457 (67% win rate)
0xf23c...9f81 — Outcome 87161551, $20,889 (65% win rate)
0x55a1...db28 — Outcome 87161551, $20,611 (55% win rate)
0xd3b0...329e — Outcome 87161551, $13,500 (60% win rate)
0xa103...1c14 — Outcome 87161551, $13,000 (69% win rate)
0x8f3a...5ad0 — Outcome 87161551, $8,300 (55% win rate)
0x3a09...f9f7 — Outcome 87161551, $8,137 (53% win rate)
0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 87161551, $7,777 (85% win rate)

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LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner

ResolvedLoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$95,377 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between GIANTX and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 3 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 3 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere”

102¢

75¢

48¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction