Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $388,994.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

30-wallet contrarian IG cluster

A large 30-wallet Invictus Gaming cluster, including several highly profitable bettors, made a contrarian $131,000 push despite opposing JD Gaming flow and a subsequent price decline.

  • Thirty wallets bought $131,278 of Invictus Gaming, including bettors with 85%–87% win rates and substantial historical profits.
  • The flow arrived during a 357.9× volume spike, making this a notable coordinated thesis rather than an isolated wager.
  • Invictus entries were mostly around 38%–56%, but the price has since fallen to 25%; opposing JD Gaming bets make the signal higher-risk.

$131,278 on Invictus Gaming

Sharp wallets backing JD Gaming

A major JD Gaming push combines a 30-wallet, $241k one-sided cluster, a 249x volume spike, sharp proven bettors, and a 27-point price move.

  • 30 wallets committed $241,288 to JD Gaming, driving its implied probability up 27 percentage points to 66%.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 95% and 91% win rates across 142 and 341 resolved bets.
  • The market saw 249 times its historical trading rate, although opposing Invictus Gaming flow makes this a strong but not uncontested signal.

$241,288 on JD Gaming

Four-wallet Invictus Gaming cluster

Four wallets concentrated $60,459 on Invictus Gaming amid a 479x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated esports position despite the lead trader's moderate 61% win rate.

  • Four wallets bought Invictus Gaming for a combined $60,459, signaling strong one-sided conviction.
  • Trading volume surged to 479 times its 24-hour average around the positioning.
  • The lead bettor is adding to an existing $25,995 position and has a 61% win rate across 461 resolved bets.

$15,000 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%

New wallet scaling into JD Gaming

A repeat new wallet is adding to a sizable JD Gaming position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, though its proven track record is too limited to independently validate the edge.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already made seven positions and is adding to a $3,100 JD Gaming holding.
  • JD Gaming was bought at 46¢ while the current market is around 44%, signaling continued conviction despite the slight adverse move.
  • Trading volume spiked 231x above its recent average, adding support to the directional signal.

$1,428 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x23c8...f293 Outcome 46084750, $87,548 (43% win rate)
  2. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 46084750, $81,622 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x74b7...8b0b Outcome 46084750, $56,291 (87% win rate)
  4. 0x55a1...db28 Outcome 46084750, $48,715 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 46084750, $37,312 (58% win rate)
  6. 0xf485...03ae Outcome 46084750, $30,000 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xd391...b109 Outcome 46084750, $25,995 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x12ec...41ae Outcome 46084750, $24,207 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x1037...5b09 Outcome 46084750, $20,000 (91% win rate)
  10. 0xc1c7...f0a7 Outcome 46084750, $17,892 (91% win rate)

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs$388,994 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Invictus Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 3 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 3 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “JD Gaming
55¢
50¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

1d ago

$131,278 on Invictus Gaming at 39¢

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

1d ago

$241,288 on JD Gaming at 66¢

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

1d ago

$15,000 on Invictus Gaming at 58¢

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner

1d ago

$1,428 on JD Gaming at 46¢

Related Theses