Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana match scheduled for August 9, 2026. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 1; smart money tracking currently includes $49,893 across two signals, including bets on both sides.
This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,114.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial trader fades the favorite
A serial cross-market trader made a contrarian sale during an extreme pre-event volume surge, creating a notable case for the underdog.
- This trader has participated across 247 events and 533 markets, with $487,000 in recorded profit.
- Market activity was roughly 999 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-match positioning.
- The $1,207 sale of Invictus Gaming at 80¢ converts to a 20¢ buy on LNG Esports.
$1,207 on LNG Esports | Wallet win rate: 69%
Nine-wallet Invictus conviction cluster
Nine wallets deployed $30.6K on Invictus Gaming amid a 1,126x volume spike, including highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edges.
- Nine wallets bought Invictus Gaming for $30,566, representing 93.8% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 93% wins with $212K profit and 88% wins with $511K profit, both beating their average entry odds by wide margins.
- The market jumped 5% in a day, but the current 76% price remains below several cluster entries near 81%, signaling continued conviction despite the pullback.
$46,720 on Invictus Gaming
89% win-rate serial bettor adds
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Invictus Gaming position.
- This bettor has won 167 of 188 trades, with a reported $99,497 profit and 24% edge over implied odds.
- They are adding $2,187 to an existing Invictus Gaming position at 77¢, reinforcing their conviction.
- The wallet has traded 121 markets across 90 events, providing a large sample beyond this single match.
$2,187 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xbadf...aef3 — LNG Esports, $23,885
- 0xc1c7...f0a7 — Invictus Gaming, $23,407 (86% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — LNG Esports, $19,177 (71% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Invictus Gaming, $17,750 (66% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — LNG Esports, $14,347 (58% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — LNG Esports, $9,997 (78% win rate)
- 0xf485...03ae — LNG Esports, $9,200
- 0x292f...7fc2 — Invictus Gaming, $8,853 (76% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Invictus Gaming, $8,400 (61% win rate)
- 0xc0c4...f745 — Invictus Gaming, $8,000 (62% win rate)
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