Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the winner of Game 2 between Invictus Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana. It is scheduled to resolve on August 6, 2026, based on the Game 2 result; the market currently tracks $125,039 in smart money across five signals.
This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $125,039.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked whale cluster buys Invictus
A linked 16-wallet cluster deployed $87,000 on Invictus Gaming at 50–63¢, alongside several highly profitable bettors, before the market surged to 92%.
- Sixteen linked wallets bought $87,000 of Invictus Gaming, with the largest individual trade worth $17,600.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 99%, 92%, 85%, and 84% win rates over meaningful samples.
- Invictus surged roughly 36 percentage points after the trades, although a separate 15-wallet flow backed Ninjas in Pyjamas and the current price is already 92%.
$87,069 on Invictus Gaming
Sharp bettors backing NIP
A large coordinated NIP position was built by several highly profitable bettors, including wallets with 94%-100% historical win rates, despite the market later moving sharply toward Invictus Gaming.
- 12 wallets committed $30,382 to Ninjas in Pyjamas, including bettors with 94%, 96%, and 100% win rates.
- The strongest wallets bought NIP around 44¢-48¢, implying substantial conviction before the price fell to roughly 16¢.
- A much larger opposing Invictus Gaming flow and the 28.5-point price move make this a high-risk contrarian trade rather than a straightforward copy.
$30,382 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
99% winner joins 15-wallet Invictus surge
An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate bought Invictus Gaming at 50%, alongside 15 wallets and a major volume surge, though the market has since risen to 84%.
- This bettor has won 110 of 111 resolved trades and is up $175,446, while typically entering around 51%.
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 50%, and 15 wallets have since backed the same outcome with $62,715 combined.
- The market has surged to 84% on a 141,000x historical volume spike, so the original entry is no longer available at the same value.
$2,000 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp bettor joins 15-wallet Invictus surge
A proven 85% win-rate bettor bought Invictus at 57% alongside 15 one-sided wallets before the market surged to 84%.
- This bettor has won 85% of 155 resolved positions and is up $204,427, with an average win price near 56%.
- The $2,914 purchase at 57% aligned with 15 wallets buying Invictus for $62,715 total.
- Invictus has since risen from 57% to 84%, confirming the trade's strong market impact.
$2,914 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor joins 15-wallet Invictus surge
A proven, highly profitable bettor added to an Invictus Gaming position amid a 15-wallet coordinated buying surge and an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of 249 resolved trades and is up $166,464 lifetime.
- They added $2,674 to an existing Invictus Gaming position at 53¢, alongside 14 other wallets betting the same way.
- The market has since risen to 84¢ after a massive volume spike, so the original 53¢ entry should not be chased above 63¢.
$2,674 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $104,929 (58% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Invictus Gaming, $92,331 (71% win rate)
- 0xe291...748e — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $70,784 (70% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $52,839 (78% win rate)
- 0x0224...292a — Invictus Gaming, $49,520 (51% win rate)
- 0x3ebd...b66a — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $48,565 (58% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Invictus Gaming, $33,212 (48% win rate)
- 0x73b1...bd8b — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $32,500
- 0xd202...8973 — Invictus Gaming, $31,118 (43% win rate)
- 0x9e3e...f882 — Invictus Gaming, $30,382 (45% win rate)
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