Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the League of Legends LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with PolySpotter tracking $10,694 in smart money and 1 smart money signal tied to this market.
This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,118.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing favorite
Surface: four wallets put about $13k on Invictus, including a $1.23M-profit bettor and an 11-0 wallet, during a volatile pre-match move.
- A bettor up $1.23M lifetime joined this side and has won 595 of 833 resolved markets.
- The largest ticket came from an 11-0 wallet that is up $7.2k on resolved bets.
- Four wallets put about $13k on Invictus during heavy pre-match volatility, and the current 64¢ price is below most of their entries.
$12,969 on Invictus Gaming
77% winner joins cluster
A proven 77% winner with strong cross-market history joined coordinated one-sided ThunderTalk flow despite the position moving sharply against entry.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $12.5K lifetime across $205K invested.
- Five wallets bought the same side, putting $8.5K behind ThunderTalk in the same window.
- Volume spiked 18x and ThunderTalk saw major price impact, though this wallet’s 76¢ entry is now far above the current 36¢ market price.
$2,089 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%
90% winner joins TTG cluster
Sharp 90% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit bought ThunderTalk, alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and major price impact.
- This bettor wins 90% of their resolved bets and is up $59K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought ThunderTalk in the same window, totaling $8.5K on one side.
- Volume spiked 18x and ThunderTalk’s price jumped sharply around the buying.
$1,070 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
Four-wallet sharp cluster
Four wallets bought Invictus Gaming together, including two highly profitable serial traders and an 11-0 wallet, amid a large pre-match volume spike.
- Four wallets put $10.7k on Invictus Gaming before Game 1.
- One buyer is 11-0 with $7.2k profit, and another has $1.23M lifetime profit across 833 resolved bets.
- Market activity spiked 198x, with the group entering around 75¢ on average while current odds sit near 78¢.
$10,694 on Invictus Gaming
Profitable serial underdog bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought the underdog before a large pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor is up $58K lifetime across $3.0M traded and has bet across 51 events.
- They bought ThunderTalk at 21¢, and the market has already moved to 26¢.
- This market saw a 499x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual attention before the match.
$2,061 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%
Three sharp bettors piled in
Three profitable esports-style wallets, including a 90% winner, bought ThunderTalk together and moved the price sharply before it went to 100%.
- A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $59K joined this ThunderTalk buy.
- Three wallets bought the same side within seconds, pushing ThunderTalk up 16 points in about 3 minutes.
- All three wallets are profitable overall, with combined lifetime gains above $320K.
$4,219 on ThunderTalk Gaming
Profitable serial esports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Invictus alongside a one-sided 3-wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $1.23M lifetime across 833 resolved bets.
- They have traded 477 events and win 71% of resolved markets.
- Three wallets bought Invictus the same way, driving an $11.8K one-sided flow.
$1,132 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 71%
Undefeated bettor joins cluster
Sharp undefeated wallet with positive P&L joined a 3-wallet one-sided Invictus push during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 11-for-11 on resolved markets and is up $7.2K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $11.8K, a strong coordinated push toward Invictus Gaming.
- Volume spiked 176x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction ahead of Game 1.
$4,907 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable esports whale
A 4-hour-old wallet with early profits is repeatedly placing large esports bets, including $5.7k on Invictus at 75-76¢ in a relatively quiet market.
- This brand-new wallet is already up $14.9k after 2 resolved wins.
- It has now made 6 flagged large bets totaling $20.5k within its first few hours.
- This $5.7k Invictus buy was several times the market’s prior quiet-volume baseline.
$5,716 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.47M lifetime profit bought the underdog in a relatively small esports market.
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,586 resolved bets and is up $1.47M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 227 events with over $3.7M previously tracked.
- Buying ThunderTalk at 27¢ is a clear underdog position against a market pricing them near 26%.
$1,262 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0x9146...6ab0 — Invictus Gaming, $94,485
- 0xfc25...1f7f — ThunderTalk Gaming, $50,015 (95% win rate)
- 0xa16a...33a1 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $34,333 (99% win rate)
- 0xe100...4d41 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $22,883 (57% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Invictus Gaming, $21,509 (71% win rate)
- 0x996a...e3cc — ThunderTalk Gaming, $20,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x4569...e624 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $16,000
- 0xe405...c67e — ThunderTalk Gaming, $14,236 (59% win rate)
- 0x9b49...04a8 — Invictus Gaming, $10,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xec92...6b59 — Invictus Gaming, $10,000
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