Part of: LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,094.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors lead six-wallet ThunderTalk flow
Six-wallet ThunderTalk buying, including two highly profitable bettors, drove a 43.7-point price move and provides unusually strong coordinated directional evidence despite several traders already holding positions.
- Six wallets put $14,571 behind ThunderTalk, including bettors with 94% and 81% win rates at meaningful sample sizes.
- The coordinated buying coincided with a 43.7-point price surge, moving ThunderTalk to roughly 77% implied probability.
- Several wallets were adding to existing ThunderTalk positions, so this is reinforced conviction rather than entirely new exposure.
$18,011 on ThunderTalk Gaming
88% winner leads coordinated JD bet
A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate bought JD Gaming at 64%, alongside two other wallets, despite the market later falling sharply to 23%.
- This bettor has won 616 of 699 resolved trades—an 88% win rate—and is up $675,067.
- Three wallets bought JD Gaming in the same window, totaling $4,845, while market volume spiked 37x its normal level.
- The $2,000 purchase at 64¢ is a strong contrarian position after JD Gaming fell to roughly 23¢.
$2,000 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettors backing JD Gaming
Three wallets bought JD Gaming for $4,845, including two highly profitable bettors with 88% and 93% win rates, despite the price later falling from 64-69% to 48%.
- Two of the three bettors win 88% and 93% of their trades, with more than $1.4M in combined profit.
- All three wallets bought JD Gaming together for $4,845 at 64-69%, showing strong coordinated conviction.
- JD Gaming has since fallen to 48%, creating a potentially favorable entry but also signaling meaningful market disagreement.
$4,845 on JD Gaming
Serial sharp scaling into JD Gaming
A proven 77% winner with a substantial positive edge added $5.2K to an existing JD Gaming position in a thin market.
- This bettor wins 77% of 98 trades and is up $90,351 lifetime.
- They added $5,238 at 65¢ to an existing $8,000 JD Gaming position, signaling increased conviction.
- The single bet was over 3× the market’s 24-hour volume, while the bettor has traded 44 events and 72 markets.
$5,238 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 87339936, $28,454 (65% win rate)
- 0x000e...f7e9 — Outcome 87339936, $27,000 (45% win rate)
- 0x0224...292a — Outcome 87339936, $22,589 (55% win rate)
- 0xd391...b109 — Outcome 87339936, $8,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x3f47...d0a3 — Outcome 87339936, $6,000
- 0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 87339936, $5,718 (78% win rate)
- 0xf032...895d — Outcome 87339936, $3,400 (85% win rate)
- 0x3818...9797 — Outcome 87339936, $3,116 (89% win rate)
- 0x6a4c...068a — Outcome 87339936, $2,898 (60% win rate)
- 0x47c8...86bc — Outcome 87339936, $2,822
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