Part of: LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 4 winner between JD Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs upper bracket semifinal, scheduled around May 31. It resolves to JD Gaming if JD win Game 4, or Top Esports if TES win Game 4; PolySpotter is tracking $6,136 in smart money and 2 smart money signals, with recent sharp activity favoring JD Gaming.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between JD Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $176,084.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner caught early move
Elite 95% winning bettor with $330K profit bought Top Esports before a major move from 39¢ to 74¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $330K lifetime.
- They bought Top Esports at 39¢ before the market jumped to 74¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 67 events with a 95% hit rate.
$1,969 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp linked esports wallets
Elite esports wallets with strong long-term results are taking or reducing into a Top Esports position, though two trades may be JD Gaming profit-taking rather than fresh conviction.
- The lead bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $257,654 lifetime.
- Three linked wallets moved the same way, including two other bettors with 75%+ win records.
- Top Esports is now much cheaper than the sharp buyer’s 44¢ entry, though two related trades look like JD Gaming profit-taking.
$4,166 on Top Esports
Linked esports sharp cluster
High-scoring JD Gaming flow from linked wallets includes a proven 85% bettor, cross-market positioning, and a sharp price move in their direction.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $71.9K is buying JD Gaming here.
- Three wallets are all taking the same side, including two linked wallets sharing a funder.
- JD Gaming moved from about 55¢ to 64¢ after the buys, suggesting the flow is already being validated.
$4,731 on JD Gaming
86% winner backing underdog
Sharp profitable esports bettor bought Top Esports despite the market moving against them, with same-side cluster flow and cross-market positioning supporting the thesis.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $60k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought Top Esports in the same window, totaling about $7.1k on the same side.
- They entered at 46¢ and the market is now 36¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp bettor paid.
$1,940 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 86%
83% winner joins one-sided flow
Sharp 83% lifetime bettor with strong profit is buying Top Esports alongside one-sided cluster flow and repeated cross-market positioning in the same match.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $257K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling about $7.1K on Top Esports.
- They have traded 58 related events with an 83% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
$1,877 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%
92% winner in 11-wallet push
Sharp 92% lifetime winner is buying JD Gaming alongside a large 11-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $62k lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all buying JD Gaming, with nearly $99k moving the same way.
- Volume is surging before the match, with activity running 35x above the recent average.
$2,180 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp wallet in linked JD push
Sharp 85% win-rate wallet joined an 11-wallet linked one-sided push buying JD Gaming amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $71.9K lifetime.
- 11 wallets are all buying JD Gaming, totaling about $99.5K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 34.9x, and this wallet has also positioned across 4 markets in the same event.
$1,104 on JD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp 13-wallet JD cluster
Strong JD Gaming signal from a $109k 13-wallet one-sided cluster backed by linked wallets, sharp profitable bettors, and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 13 wallets bought $109k of JD Gaming, far larger than the $38k opposing Top Esports flow.
- Several buyers have strong records, including one who wins 95% of bets and is up about $180k.
- Volume spiked 147x before the match, with most entries clustered around 55¢.
$108,669 on JD Gaming
Sharp bettor plus 10-wallet flow
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Top Esports alongside 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $171,754 lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Top Esports, totaling $38,022 in same-direction flow.
- Market volume spiked 147x before the match, and this wallet has traded 71 related events with a 75% win rate.
$3,752 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 75%
Elite bettor plus 10-wallet flow
Elite profitable esports bettor bought Top Esports alongside 10-wallet same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 106 events, with $259K tracked in this pattern.
- 10 wallets are all buying Top Esports, alongside a 147x pre-event volume spike.
$2,378 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Top Esports, $200,320 (61% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — JD Gaming, $113,403 (44% win rate)
- 0x5286...0d47 — JD Gaming, $55,175 (34% win rate)
- 0xb42f...900b — JD Gaming, $45,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — JD Gaming, $30,684 (59% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Top Esports, $30,020
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Top Esports, $26,870 (63% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — JD Gaming, $19,708 (50% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — JD Gaming, $17,239 (92% win rate)
- 0x1887...f75d — Top Esports, $17,203 (75% win rate)
Related Theses
Movistar wins in five
Covers 4 related markets
LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid
Covers 5 related markets
G2 beats Karmine Corp
Covers 5 related markets
T1 will sweep Gen.G
Covers 3 related markets
