Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $521,068.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% sharp bettor leads Karmine cluster

A historically exceptional bettor made a $128.8K Karmine Corp purchase while 21 wallets took the same side, though the position is now deeply underwater at roughly 2%.

This bettor has won 95% of 88 resolved positions and is up nearly $2.0M.
Twenty-one wallets bought Karmine Corp in the same window, totaling $187K.
The conviction is notable but the position has fallen from roughly 49¢ to 2¢, making this a high-risk contrarian signal rather than a confirmed edge.

$128,776 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettors split on Karmine

A highly concentrated, two-sided esports market surge includes several exceptionally profitable bettors, though opposing Dplus KIA flow materially weakens the directional copy signal.

18 wallets committed $155,556 to Karmine Corp, including bettors with 90%–100% historical win rates and substantial profits.
The market saw a 55.5x volume spike, with $300,000 of combined concentrated activity across both sides.
Opposing Dplus KIA purchases and sells make this a compelling market to study, but not a clean one-sided signal.

$155,556 on Karmine Corp

Sharp bettor joins 34-wallet Dplus surge

A proven 92% win-rate bettor bought Dplus KIA at 50% amid a 34-wallet, $146,310 one-sided surge, with the price now at 74%.

This bettor has won 92% of 220 resolved positions and earned $680,430 in P&L.
Thirty-four wallets bought Dplus KIA for $146,310, while the price rose from 50¢ to 74%.
The bettor’s 79-event cross-market history and 31-point edge over average implied odds make this a strong signal.

$2,500 on Dplus KIA | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor leads 34-wallet surge

A proven, highly profitable bettor bought Dplus KIA at a substantial discount amid a 34-wallet one-sided surge, with the price since rising from 45% to 74%.

This bettor wins 79% of 694 resolved positions and has earned $568,873, while buying Dplus KIA at just 45%.
Thirty-four wallets bought Dplus KIA in the same window, committing $146,310 to the outcome.
The market has since moved from 45% to 74%, strongly confirming the trade direction; the original entry is no longer available at that price.

$2,489 on Dplus KIA | Wallet win rate: 79%

90% winner adds to Karmine

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge added to Karmine Corp at 39¢ before the price rose to 50¢.

This bettor wins 90% of 99 resolved trades and is up $48,873 overall.
They added $1,637 to an existing Karmine Corp position at 39¢, with the market now near 50¢.
The wallet has traded across 36 events and 54 markets, while a 39x volume spike supports the move.

$1,637 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 90%

54-wallet linked Dplus cluster

A 54-wallet linked cluster committed $230,110 to Dplus KIA around 50% odds, alongside a major price jump and multiple historically sharp participants.

54 wallets linked to four funders bought Dplus KIA for $230,110, creating unusually concentrated one-sided conviction.
The cluster helped drive Dplus KIA from roughly 50% to 98%, while several participants have 84%–96% win rates with large positive edges.
Most major entries were near 50¢, offering substantial upside if the coordinated signal was accurate before the move.

$230,110 on Dplus KIA

Top Holders

0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 17346786, $471,126 (95% win rate)
0x3a09...f9f7 — Outcome 17346786, $52,062 (52% win rate)
0x7c1c...1468 — Outcome 17346786, $30,765 (91% win rate)
0x7ec8...3a77 — Outcome 17346786, $16,611 (55% win rate)
0xafd4...7e61 — Outcome 17346786, $13,500 (62% win rate)
0x4572...5e86 — Outcome 17346786, $12,800 (75% win rate)
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 17346786, $11,696 (77% win rate)
0x182d...73e9 — Outcome 17346786, $11,000 (39% win rate)
0x3818...9797 — Outcome 17346786, $10,855 (90% win rate)
0xab44...7ffe — Outcome 17346786, $10,000 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA Wins Series and Games

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili wins despite T1 Game 4

Covers 4 related markets

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$521,068 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Dplus KIA”

102¢

80¢

58¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction