Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Game 1 winner between Karmine Corp and G2 Esports in the LEC Playoffs upper bracket semifinal. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with the scheduled resolution date listed as May 23, 2026 at 21:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $1,330 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including recent sharp activity on both G2 and Karmine Corp.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and G2 Esports in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,066.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
30-for-30 sharp on G2
Surface because a 30-for-30 profitable wallet bought G2 before a sharp move to 97%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is 30-for-30 on resolved trades and up $28.6k lifetime.
- They bought G2 at 76¢ before the market jumped to 97¢.
- The market saw a 312x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind the move.
$1,330 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cluster backing underdog
Eight wallets, including several highly profitable serial cross-market traders, effectively backed Karmine Corp with $18.2k despite the market moving sharply toward G2.
- Several proven bettors are on the same side, including wallets up $1.5M, $1.3M, and $664k lifetime.
- Eight wallets put $18.2k behind Karmine Corp, with many paying 38–49¢ while the market now sits near 18¢.
- This is a contrarian underdog position after G2’s price jumped 28 points, so the edge depends on trusting the sharp wallets over current momentum.
$18,175 on Karmine Corp
Sharp bettor led G2 surge
A proven 78% winner bought G2 at 49¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike that has already pushed the market to 82¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $136,604 lifetime.
- Eight wallets are all buying G2, totaling $24,434 in the same direction.
- G2 moved from a 49¢ entry to 82¢ after a 295x volume spike.
$1,089 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor riding G2 surge
Sharp 80% lifetime bettor bought G2 at 58¢ amid an 8-wallet one-sided surge, major volume spike, and a 28-point price move.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $145K lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought the same side, totaling $24K on G2.
- G2 jumped from 58¢ to 82¢ after a 295x volume spike.
$3,079 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp bettor joins G2 rush
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate bought G2 before a large one-sided volume surge and major price move.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $60K lifetime.
- Eight wallets all bought G2 in the same window, totaling $24K of one-sided flow.
- G2 moved from this trader’s 66¢ entry to 82¢, showing the market quickly followed the bet.
$1,427 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable sharps on G2
High-scoring G2 cluster is worth surfacing because several profitable, high-volume wallets bought the same side despite some opposing sharp flow on Karmine Corp.
- Five wallets put $17.2k on G2, including bettors with 89%, 80%, 78%, and 71% winning records.
- One G2 buyer is up $1.24M lifetime, and another wins 89% of resolved bets with $135k profit.
- Volume has surged 354x before the match, suggesting this Game 1 market is attracting serious informed money.
$17,248 on G2 Esports
Profitable serial bettor joins Karmine flow
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Karmine Corp alongside 7-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has handled 1,586 resolved bets and is up about $1.47M lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Karmine Corp, totaling $16.3K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 354x versus normal, with Karmine Corp already up 12 points today.
$2,333 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial bettor joins cluster
Strong esports signal from a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joining 7-wallet one-sided Karmine Corp flow during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge history across 359 events and is up $664K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Karmine Corp the same way, totaling $16.3K in one-sided flow.
- They entered at 40¢ and the market has already moved to 49¢ after a 354x volume spike.
$1,764 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable bettor joins 7-wallet push
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is joining a 7-wallet one-sided move into Karmine Corp amid a huge pre-event volume spike and rising odds.
- This bettor has won 66% of 287 resolved bets and is up nearly $50K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are all buying Karmine Corp, totaling $16.3K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 354x versus normal, and Karmine Corp’s odds are already up 12 points today.
$2,500 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 66%
Sharp serial esports bettor
Surfacing because a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate is buying G2 Esports in Game 1.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $132k lifetime.
- They have traded across 62 events and 103 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Entry at 61¢ implies they still see value despite G2 already being favored.
$3,800 on G2 Esports | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Karmine Corp, $98,215 (74% win rate)
- 0x0d2d...7ff5 — G2 Esports, $51,009
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Karmine Corp, $41,115 (95% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Karmine Corp, $36,864 (72% win rate)
- 0xac75...1319 — Karmine Corp, $30,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — G2 Esports, $25,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — G2 Esports, $20,622 (53% win rate)
- 0xf201...527e — G2 Esports, $20,061 (72% win rate)
- 0x9770...0ff5 — Karmine Corp, $16,300 (67% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — G2 Esports, $15,000 (71% win rate)
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