What is the Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI Game 1 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Game 1 of the LoL upper bracket semifinal between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs.

How does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to “Karmine Corp” if Karmine Corp wins Game 1, and to “Movistar KOI” if Movistar KOI wins Game 1. If the match starts but only Game 1 is completed, the Game 1 result determines the outcome.

When is Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI Game 1 scheduled?

The match was initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET, with the market resolution date listed as May 14, 2026 at 19:00 UTC.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter is tracking $3,733 in smart money tied to this market, including 3 smart money signals and alerts such as sharp cluster buying, profitable regular activity, and an 81% win-rate sharp.

Why do bettors follow smart money in LoL prediction markets?

Smart money can highlight where experienced or profitable traders are placing capital, which may help users understand market sentiment beyond the public odds. It is not a guarantee of the final result.

Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the League of Legends Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs upper bracket semifinal. It resolves after Game 1 is completed with a winner, with resolution expected on May 14, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $3,733 in smart money activity across 3 signals.

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 1 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,474.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

81% win-rate sharp

Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and $156k lifetime profit bought Movistar KOI at 45¢, supported by a strong serial cross-market pattern and recent price volatility.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $156k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with the same 81% hit rate.
Entry at 45¢ implies about a 2.2x payout if Movistar KOI wins Game 1.

$1,105 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market track record bought Movistar KOI despite a sharp recent price drop.

This bettor has 1,371 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $144K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports betting process.
Movistar KOI has fallen to about 46¢ after their 52¢ entry, so the market is currently offering a cheaper price than the bettor paid.

$1,033 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial esports trader

A highly experienced and profitable esports cross-market trader flipped from Movistar KOI into Karmine Corp with price impact, though the entry is now worse than current market.

This bettor has a long record: 1,557 resolved bets, 59% wins, and about $361k in profit.
They trade across many related markets, with nearly $2M flagged in cross-market activity over 383 events.
They flipped from a prior Movistar KOI position into Karmine Corp, pushing price up about 21 points.

$1,594 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Four wallets bought $6.8k of Movistar KOI amid a sharp two-way esports price swing, including one bettor with an 81% win rate and $156k profit plus other profitable high-volume traders.

A bettor who wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $156k joined the Movistar KOI side.
Four wallets bought $6.8k of the same outcome as the price rebounded from 43–46¢ toward 49¢.
The market saw a 26x volume spike and rapid odds swings, suggesting active informed positioning before Game 1.

$6,801 on Movistar KOI

Profitable regular joins Karmine flow

High-composite esports alert: a profitable serial trader effectively bought Karmine at 47¢ alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a sharp pre-match volume spike.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,557 resolved bets, 59% wins, and $361k lifetime profit.
Five wallets are all on the Karmine side, totaling about $9.9k in the same direction.
This sell of Movistar is equivalent to buying Karmine at 47¢, with heavy pre-match volume and a fast price move behind it.

$1,517 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable sharp plus clustered flow

A profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Karmine Corp alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and sharp upward price impact.

This bettor has a long record across 1,906 resolved trades, winning 61% and earning about $293k.
Five wallets bought the same side for $9.9k total, adding support to the Karmine Corp move.
Volume spiked 26x and Karmine Corp jumped 24.5 percentage points in about 4 minutes.

$2,853 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with $671k lifetime profit bought Movistar KOI at 43c despite only a modest 56% win rate signal.

This bettor is up $671k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
They have traded 308 markets across 211 events, showing deep cross-market activity rather than a one-off bet.
Buying Movistar KOI at 43¢ implies they see value against the current 44% market price.

$3,562 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial bettor cluster

Three wallets are buying Karmine Corp together, led by a highly active profitable cross-market bettor with $292k lifetime profit and a long esports/sports betting record.

A major serial bettor with 1,906 resolved trades is leading this side and is up $292,718 lifetime.
Three wallets bought Karmine Corp within minutes, putting $5,009 on the same Game 1 outcome.
Entry around 53–54¢ has already moved to 56¢, suggesting the market is following their flow.

$5,009 on Karmine Corp