Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket market predicts the winner of Game 2 between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1, scheduled for May 30 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with smart money activity currently tracking $5,993 across 5 signals, including sharp interest on the favorite and esports-focused bettors.

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,923.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with an 82% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp before a major move from 76% to 98%.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $102.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 70 events with the same 82% hit rate.
  • Karmine Corp has already moved from their 76¢ entry to 98¢, so the edge may be mostly gone.

$1,029 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 82%

91% sharp bought early

A highly proven 91% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp before a major move from 74¢ to 98¢, supported by cross-market expertise and volume momentum.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $586k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 117 events with the same 91% track record.
  • They bought Karmine Corp at 74¢ before the price jumped to 98¢, so the edge may already be mostly priced in.

$1,078 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 91%

72% serial esports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 72% long-run win rate bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ ahead of a major move to 98¢, alongside a volume spike and price impact.

  • This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $845K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 151 events and 299 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Karmine moved from their 80¢ entry to 98¢ after a 33.6x volume spike.

$1,200 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 72%

Serial cross-market momentum

Serial cross-market esports bettor bought Karmine Corp before a major volume spike and price move, though their long-run P&L is negative so this is more momentum-driven than a pure sharp-wallet copy.

  • This bettor has traded 67 markets across 55 events and wins 71% of resolved bets.
  • Karmine Corp jumped from their 76¢ entry to 98¢ after a 33.6x volume spike.
  • The market has already moved hard, so the original edge is likely gone above the suggested ceiling.

$1,245 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp esports bettor caught move

Sharp 89% winning wallet bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ before a major move to 98¢ alongside a volume spike and price impact.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $12.5K lifetime.
  • They bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ before the market jumped to 98¢.
  • Volume spiked 33.6x and the price moved 18 points in Karmine Corp’s favor.

$1,440 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp cluster on favorite

A 12-wallet one-sided cluster, including several highly profitable serial esports bettors, aggressively bought Karmine Corp and drove the price from the low 70s to 93%.

  • 12 wallets bought the same side for nearly $30K, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
  • Several buyers have strong records, including one up $586K with a 91% win rate and another up $168K with an 83% win rate.
  • The buying pushed Karmine Corp from around 70–80¢ to 93¢, showing fast market agreement with the trade.

$29,930 on Karmine Corp

Top Holders

  1. 0x996a...e3cc Karmine Corp, $22,722 (99% win rate)
  2. 0x2cad...eb66 Natus Vincere, $21,773 (66% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Natus Vincere, $20,192 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xcf60...a6f5 Karmine Corp, $16,372 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x55d9...832c Natus Vincere, $12,077 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xe361...ae44 Karmine Corp, $10,199 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x2fbc...f944 Karmine Corp, $9,497 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x52ec...a6f3 Karmine Corp, $8,525 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x7635...63f6 Karmine Corp, $8,000
  10. 0xf68a...5b1b Karmine Corp, $7,505 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

Covers 5 related markets

G2 beats Karmine Corp

Covers 5 related markets

Aurora wins in five

Covers 5 related markets

EDG reverse sweeps NIP

Covers 5 related markets

Movistar wins, Vitality takes Game 3

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will sweep Gen.G

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Anyone's Legend beats EDG

Covers 3 related markets

G2 wins 3-1

Covers 5 related markets

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$35,923 tracked6 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Karmine Corp
100¢
Natus Vincere
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Karmine Corp
102¢
75¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,029 on Karmine Corp at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,078 on Karmine Corp at 74¢

74¢100¢26¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,200 on Karmine Corp at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,245 on Karmine Corp at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,440 on Karmine Corp at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$29,930 on Karmine Corp at 75¢

75¢100¢25¢

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five
Wallet_0xf201a trades 4 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid
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LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
G2 beats Karmine Corp
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Aurora wins in five
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EDG reverse sweeps NIP
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Movistar wins, Vitality takes Game 3
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T1 will sweep Gen.G
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Anyone's Legend beats EDG
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G2 wins 3-1
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