Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the winner of Game 2 between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1, scheduled for May 30 at 11:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with smart money activity currently tracking $5,993 across 5 signals, including sharp interest on the favorite and esports-focused bettors.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,923.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 82% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp before a major move from 76% to 98%.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $102.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 70 events with the same 82% hit rate.
- Karmine Corp has already moved from their 76¢ entry to 98¢, so the edge may be mostly gone.
$1,029 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 82%
91% sharp bought early
A highly proven 91% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Karmine Corp before a major move from 74¢ to 98¢, supported by cross-market expertise and volume momentum.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $586k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 117 events with the same 91% track record.
- They bought Karmine Corp at 74¢ before the price jumped to 98¢, so the edge may already be mostly priced in.
$1,078 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 91%
72% serial esports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 72% long-run win rate bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ ahead of a major move to 98¢, alongside a volume spike and price impact.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $845K lifetime.
- They have traded across 151 events and 299 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Karmine moved from their 80¢ entry to 98¢ after a 33.6x volume spike.
$1,200 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial cross-market momentum
Serial cross-market esports bettor bought Karmine Corp before a major volume spike and price move, though their long-run P&L is negative so this is more momentum-driven than a pure sharp-wallet copy.
- This bettor has traded 67 markets across 55 events and wins 71% of resolved bets.
- Karmine Corp jumped from their 76¢ entry to 98¢ after a 33.6x volume spike.
- The market has already moved hard, so the original edge is likely gone above the suggested ceiling.
$1,245 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp esports bettor caught move
Sharp 89% winning wallet bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ before a major move to 98¢ alongside a volume spike and price impact.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $12.5K lifetime.
- They bought Karmine Corp at 80¢ before the market jumped to 98¢.
- Volume spiked 33.6x and the price moved 18 points in Karmine Corp’s favor.
$1,440 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp cluster on favorite
A 12-wallet one-sided cluster, including several highly profitable serial esports bettors, aggressively bought Karmine Corp and drove the price from the low 70s to 93%.
- 12 wallets bought the same side for nearly $30K, with linked funding behind part of the cluster.
- Several buyers have strong records, including one up $586K with a 91% win rate and another up $168K with an 83% win rate.
- The buying pushed Karmine Corp from around 70–80¢ to 93¢, showing fast market agreement with the trade.
$29,930 on Karmine Corp
Top Holders
- 0x996a...e3cc — Karmine Corp, $22,722 (99% win rate)
- 0x2cad...eb66 — Natus Vincere, $21,773 (66% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Natus Vincere, $20,192 (71% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Karmine Corp, $16,372 (74% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — Natus Vincere, $12,077 (80% win rate)
- 0xe361...ae44 — Karmine Corp, $10,199 (51% win rate)
- 0x2fbc...f944 — Karmine Corp, $9,497 (80% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Karmine Corp, $8,525 (74% win rate)
- 0x7635...63f6 — Karmine Corp, $8,000
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Karmine Corp, $7,505 (51% win rate)
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