Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 3 winner between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal, scheduled for May 30. It resolves to the team that wins Game 3, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart money and 1 recent signal, including activity from an 83% win-rate esports sharp.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 3 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 3 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,944.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought the Natus Vincere underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $501K lifetime.
- They have traded 189 related events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Entry at 27¢ backs the underdog while market volume is spiking 64.6x above normal.
$2,222 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster buying favorite
Seven wallets bought $17.7k of Karmine Corp in the same direction, including highly profitable esports/event traders and a major volume spike.
- Seven wallets bought $17.7k of Karmine Corp, pushing the market to 74%.
- One buyer wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $168k lifetime.
- Another large buyer is up $1.95M lifetime, and this market saw a 64.6x volume spike.
$17,722 on Karmine Corp
83% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% long-term win rate and strong profits bought Karmine Corp at 67¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $167k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 110 events with $376k in tracked volume.
- Entry at 67¢ suggests confidence in Karmine Corp despite already being the favorite.
$1,000 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Karmine Corp, $20,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Natus Vincere, $19,193 (73% win rate)
- 0xf7c2...9b8d — Natus Vincere, $14,192 (95% win rate)
- 0x9b49...04a8 — Karmine Corp, $11,058 (83% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Natus Vincere, $10,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x55d9...832c — Karmine Corp, $10,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Natus Vincere, $6,308 (85% win rate)
- 0xb635...bef0 — Natus Vincere, $6,220 (51% win rate)
- 0x8f25...51f3 — Karmine Corp, $6,212 (78% win rate)
- 0x2cad...eb66 — Natus Vincere, $5,390 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
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Team Spirit wins Game 1
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