Part of: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 4 winner between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal. It resolves to the team that wins Game 4, with final resolution scheduled for May 30, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,335 in smart money across 1 signal on this market.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 30 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 4 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 4 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,049.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial esports trader bought Karmine Corp at 89¢ before a fast move to 100¢, supported by a strong cross-market betting history.
- This bettor has 847 resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 38 events and 46 markets.
- Bought Karmine Corp at 89¢ before the market quickly moved to 100¢.
$1,335 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the price later moving against the entry.
- This bettor is up $1.59M lifetime across 1,666 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 248 events tracked and a 74% win rate.
- Three wallets bought the same side for nearly $30K during a 359x volume spike.
$2,425 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market cluster
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere alongside a $29.8k one-sided cluster during a huge pre-event volume spike, despite the price moving against the position.
- This bettor has a long record across esports-style markets, winning 66% of 1,196 resolved bets and earning $369k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Natus Vincere in the same window for $29.8k total, showing coordinated conviction on the underdog.
- The market saw a 359x pre-event volume spike, and this entry at 25¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet.
$1,250 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable sharps on underdog
Two very profitable serial bettors bought Natus Vincere and a third profitable wallet sold Karmine Corp into a major pre-event volume spike, though the market also has larger opposing Karmine flow.
- Two Natus Vincere buyers both win 74% of resolved bets and are up about $3.5M combined.
- The underdog side drew $28.5k during a 279x volume spike on a market with only $32.8k total volume.
- A third profitable wallet sold Karmine Corp, though part of that looks like closing an earlier position.
$28,524 on Natus Vincere
83% winner joins 10-wallet push
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% long-term win rate is buying Karmine Corp alongside strong one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $168K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Karmine Corp, totaling about $66.9K in same-direction flow.
- Market volume spiked 279x and Karmine Corp moved up 13.5% in under 4 minutes.
$1,378 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 83%
91% winner joins one-sided flow
Elite 91% lifetime bettor with $586k profit is buying Karmine Corp alongside strong one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and rapid upward price movement.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $586k lifetime.
- Ten wallets are buying the same side, totaling about $66.9k on Karmine Corp.
- Market volume spiked 279x and Karmine Corp moved up 13.5% in under 4 minutes.
$3,244 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable sharp joins cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Karmine Corp alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved bets and is up about $847k lifetime.
- 10 wallets have piled into Karmine Corp, totaling about $66.9k on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 279x and Karmine Corp moved up 13.5 points in under 4 minutes.
$4,688 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp linked Karmine cluster
Strong copy-trade candidate: a 9-wallet Karmine Corp buying cluster with $62K in one-sided flow, linked funding, major price impact, and multiple profitable high-volume bettors involved.
- Nine wallets bought $62K of Karmine Corp, including linked wallets moving in the same direction.
- Several buyers have strong records, led by one bettor who wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $587K lifetime.
- The buying pushed Karmine Corp from the low 70¢ range to 82¢, with a 359x volume spike before the match market resolves.
$62,205 on Karmine Corp
Top Holders
- 0xd3b0...329e — Karmine Corp, $54,500 (62% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Natus Vincere, $26,511 (71% win rate)
- 0x33ab...9523 — Karmine Corp, $23,913
- 0x4a88...4c59 — Karmine Corp, $21,178 (85% win rate)
- 0x29e6...3365 — Karmine Corp, $15,069 (73% win rate)
- 0xb234...1c20 — Natus Vincere, $15,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x5038...6236 — Natus Vincere, $11,485 (64% win rate)
- 0xe361...ae44 — Karmine Corp, $11,355 (51% win rate)
- 0xec92...6b59 — Natus Vincere, $11,111 (84% win rate)
- 0x7a0f...1305 — Karmine Corp, $10,491 (91% win rate)
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