LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
This Polymarket tracks the LEC Regular Season best-of-3 match between Karmine Corp and Shifters, originally scheduled for April 25 at 12:30 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with current trader interest shaped by smart money alerts including underdog activity on Shifters. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed by more than 7 days without a winner, the market resolves at 50-50.
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,213.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event bettor
A highly active profitable cross-market bettor bought Karmine Corp at 74¢ just before the price snapped to 93%, capturing a sharp move during a major volume spike.
- This bettor has 1,219 resolved trades, a 58% win rate, and about $208k in profit overall.
- They bought Karmine Corp at 74¢ and the market quickly moved to 93%, a strong 19-point gain.
- The move came during a 43.6x volume spike, suggesting fast money piled in ahead of the result.
$1,607 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 58%
3-wallet dogpile into Shifters
Three wallets piled into Shifters as the market swung hard, with entries around 20-21¢ before the price doubled to 43¢, making this a notable coordinated momentum move despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets all bet Shifters in the same burst for $7.5k as the market repriced fast
- They bought around 20-21¢ and Shifters is now 43¢, a sharp move that suggests strong conviction
- Market volume ran 54.6x above normal and Shifters jumped 24 points in about 3 minutes
$7,521 on Shifters
96% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate and $105k profit just bought Karmine Corp during a large pre-event volume spike, making this worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $105k across 1,224 settled positions
- They trade heavily across related markets — 222 events and 852 markets suggests a repeatable process, not a one-off bet
- The buy came during a 78.8x volume spike, and the market has since dropped from their 79¢ entry to 71¢
$1,043 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial event bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with nearly $797k lifetime profit bought into a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor has 1,463 resolved trades, wins 62% of them, and is up about $797k lifetime.
- They trade heavily across related events — 196 markets across 142 events for $5.7M total — which suggests a disciplined sports-style process.
- The bet landed during a 78.8x pre-match volume spike, though they paid 79¢ and the market is now 71¢.
$2,932 on Karmine Corp | Wallet win rate: 62%
19-wallet underdog cluster
A 19-wallet linked cluster is backing the underdog Shifters into a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite this wallet’s weak standalone P&L.
- 19 linked wallets funded by the same source have put $7.1k on Shifters together
- The market saw a 51.9x volume spike before the match, so this bet landed during unusual flow
- This wallet trades heavily across esports markets, and the buy came at 18¢ before the price moved up to 21¢
$7,110 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x2302...d6d2 — Shifters, $64,109 (56% win rate)
- 0x58f8...dc70 — Karmine Corp, $49,577 (96% win rate)
- 0xe361...ae44 — Karmine Corp, $32,189 (14% win rate)
- 0x4e8d...febf — Karmine Corp, $23,378 (65% win rate)
- 0x5eab...d552 — Karmine Corp, $19,975 (43% win rate)
- 0x6bac...6fb7 — Shifters, $14,696 (100% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Shifters, $11,410 (51% win rate)
- 0x2248...bc0e — Karmine Corp, $11,078 (54% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Karmine Corp, $10,950 (8% win rate)
- 0x6842...20d0 — Shifters, $10,080 (46% win rate)
