Part of: LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $190,532.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets concentrate on LGD

A large one-sided LGD position is supported by a major volume spike, rising odds, and several highly profitable esports bettors with strong historical edges.

  • 15 wallets deployed $51,279 toward LGD, with the market moving 11 percentage points higher over the past day.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 93% wins with $515,473 profit and 85% wins with $446,485 profit.
  • The 134x volume spike and rapid price move suggest unusually strong coordinated conviction rather than an isolated large bet.

$51,279 on LGD Gaming

94% win-rate bettor backs ThunderTalk

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate took ThunderTalk at 49¢ amid coordinated buying and a 40.9x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 296 of 316 trades, earning $1.15M on $4.56M invested.
  • Four wallets bought ThunderTalk for $8,851 combined, while market volume surged to 40.9 times its historical average.
  • The position was opened at 49¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value despite current odds near 46¢.

$2,275 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 93%

40-wallet funded ThunderTalk cluster

A large coordinated 40-wallet ThunderTalk position, including several highly profitable bettors and a shared funder, drove a major repricing from roughly 50% to near certainty.

  • Forty wallets deployed about $120,000 toward ThunderTalk, with four wallets linked to the same funder.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 99% wins over 109 bets and 96% over 705 bets.
  • The buying pushed ThunderTalk from roughly 50¢ to 100¢, although the displayed market is now effectively fully priced.

$119,810 on ThunderTalk Gaming

Proven sharp backing LGD

A highly experienced esports bettor with 4,229 resolved bets and a substantial edge bought LGD Gaming despite the position currently trading lower.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 4,229 resolved bets and is up $278,000 lifetime.
  • Their average win price is 60¢, compared with 54¢ average odds, indicating a meaningful edge.
  • The $1,200 LGD Gaming bet was placed at 76¢ in a liquid esports market, though the price has since fallen to about 70¢.

$1,200 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with 1,664 resolved trades and $2.16M in profits is taking a meaningful position on ThunderTalk at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,664 resolved trades and is up $2.16M lifetime.
  • They are buying ThunderTalk at 48¢ despite the market being nearly evenly priced.
  • The $2,400 position comes from a trader active across 673 events and 949 markets.

$2,400 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%

Elite esports bettor backs LGD

A highly proven esports bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.15M profit made a fresh $5,512 bet on LGD Gaming at 53%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved positions, with 250 wins from 279 trades and $1.15M in profit.
  • The wallet is buying LGD Gaming at 53% despite a 46% average winning entry price, indicating substantial historical edge.
  • A $5,512 position in a tightly priced market adds meaningful conviction, while LGD has recently moved up 7%.

$5,512 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%

98% winner scaling into LGD

A highly successful esports bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial proven edge is adding $8,056 to LGD Gaming at 53%.

  • This bettor has won 50 of 51 resolved positions and is up $344,132.
  • They are adding $8,056 to an existing LGD Gaming position at 53%, showing increased conviction.
  • The 54% average winning entry price makes this 98% record far stronger than simply backing heavy favorites.

$8,056 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3af1...d739 Outcome 27976575, $34,806 (48% win rate)
  2. 0xc1c7...f0a7 Outcome 27976575, $26,391 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xeac2...dddc Outcome 27976575, $19,938 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xaf48...36c2 Outcome 27976575, $19,552 (44% win rate)
  5. 0xf64e...a1dd Outcome 27976575, $18,975 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xe55a...ecf7 Outcome 27976575, $15,200 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 27976575, $15,000 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 27976575, $13,146 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x0224...292a Outcome 27976575, $12,915 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xf148...0b4f Outcome 27976575, $12,514 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Norway England turns into shootout

Covers 4 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

ResolvedLoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$190,532 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 6 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “ThunderTalk Gaming
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$51,279 on LGD Gaming at 57¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$2,275 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 49¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$119,810 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 47¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$1,200 on LGD Gaming at 76¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3d ago

$2,400 on ThunderTalk Gaming at 48¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

3d ago

$5,512 on LGD Gaming at 53¢

LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2d ago

$8,056 on LGD Gaming at 53¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Norway England turns into shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Both Teams…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…