Part of: LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between LNG Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana League of Legends match, scheduled for May 14 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to LNG Esports if LNG win Game 1, or LGD Gaming if LGD win Game 1; if Game 1 is completed, resolution is based on that result even if the wider match is not finished. PolySpotter is tracking $12,727 in smart money across 6 signals, with recent alerts showing activity on both LNG and LGD sides.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,435.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
82% winner flipped sides
Sharp high-volume esports bettor with an 82% win rate flipped into LGD alongside one-sided flow and a major price move.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,353 resolved bets and is up about $496k lifetime.
- They sold out of LNG and bought LGD at 60¢, and LGD has already moved to 74¢.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $10.6k total while LGD jumped about 31 points.
$2,873 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial trader fades LNG
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with $225k lifetime profit joined one-sided LGD flow as the market moved sharply against LNG.
- This bettor has traded 1,006 resolved markets, wins 64% of them, and is up about $225k lifetime.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $10.6k total, all pointing toward LGD Gaming.
- The trade came during a fast 20-point move against LNG, and selling LNG at 45¢ converts to buying LGD at 55¢.
$1,721 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Four-wallet esports steam
High-composite esports alert driven by four-wallet one-sided LGD buying and a 31-point price move, though the featured wallet's win rate is not especially strong.
- Four wallets bought LGD the same way, totaling $10.6k in coordinated one-sided flow.
- LGD jumped from the trader’s 57¢ entry to 74¢, a 31-point move suggesting strong market momentum.
- The featured wallet is up $68k lifetime, though its resolved record is only 51%.
$1,697 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 51%
New wallet in 8-bettor flow
High composite score from a very new wallet joining 8-wallet one-sided LNG buying, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- 8 wallets bought LNG Esports in the same window, totaling $14.5K on one side.
- This 2-day-old wallet put $3.1K into LNG across two buys, despite only having 3 positions so far.
- The entry was 63–69¢, but LNG is now around 34¢, so this is a distressed copy only if the original thesis still holds.
$3,072 on LNG Esports | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven esports trader buying dip
Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market esports bettor joining one-sided LNG flow, though the position has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a long record across 126 related markets, winning 74% and earning about $27.9K lifetime.
- Eight wallets have bought the same LNG side for about $14.5K, showing broader one-sided conviction.
- The trade entered at 73¢ but LNG is now near 34¢, making this a high-risk follow after a major adverse move.
$2,031 on LNG Esports | Wallet win rate: 74%
92% winner fading favorite
Sharp 92% lifetime bettor is effectively backing LNG while broader one-sided flow also favors LNG, despite the market now showing LGD as favorite.
- This bettor has won 92% of 92 resolved trades and is up $7.8K lifetime.
- The trade is effectively a BUY on LNG at 56¢ by selling LGD at 44¢.
- Eight wallets have also bet the same LNG side for $14.5K total.
$1,333 on LNG Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable esports flow cluster
A profitable high-volume esports trader is joining a 6-wallet one-sided move into LGD amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 1,535 resolved bets, 64% wins, and $100k lifetime profit.
- Six wallets have all bought LGD, totaling $54k on the same side before the match.
- Market volume spiked over 2,300x, suggesting a sudden wave of positioning on LGD.
$7,800 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp esports cluster buying LNG
Five wallets bought LNG together for $10k, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate, though the entry is now underwater after a sharp move down.
- A bettor who wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $497k joined this LNG side.
- Five wallets bought the same outcome for about $10k in a liquid esports market.
- The trade is underwater from 63–75¢ entries to 56¢ now, so the current price is cheaper than the cluster paid.
$10,036 on LNG Esports
Profitable esports whale cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $21.3k of LGD Gaming amid a 6-wallet one-sided push totaling $54k and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 1,298 resolved bets and nearly $10M in lifetime profit.
- Six wallets are all buying LGD Gaming, with $54k moving the same way before the match.
- Their 39¢ entry implies they see LGD as underpriced despite the market favoring LNG.
$21,338 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
82% winner leads LGD cluster
High-score LGD cluster led by a proven 82% winner, with multiple profitable esports/cross-market wallets pushing the price sharply toward LGD.
- A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $496k bought LGD at 60¢.
- Three wallets put $7.4k effectively on LGD, moving the market from underdog-ish levels to 66¢.
- Two serial cross-market traders have handled over $7M combined, adding weight to the LGD side.
$7,386 on LGD Gaming
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Outcome 18863366, $120,000
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 97918506, $56,148 (58% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 18863366, $41,096 (87% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Outcome 97918506, $28,691 (53% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Outcome 97918506, $28,167 (64% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 97918506, $27,500 (52% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Outcome 97918506, $27,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 97918506, $11,644 (80% win rate)
- 0x6130...a7a6 — Outcome 18863366, $11,263 (71% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 18863366, $10,554 (98% win rate)
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