LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the League of Legends lower bracket quarterfinal match between LYON and Disguised in the Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs. The market covers only Game 1, not the full series, and is tied to the match initially scheduled for April 22 at 5:00 PM ET. It resolves once Game 1 has a winner, with final settlement expected by April 23, 2026 UTC.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between LYON and Disguised in the Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 22 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,281.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
3-wallet esports pile-in
Three wallets piled into Disguised within minutes at 30-36¢ and the market quickly repriced to 74¢, making this a notable coordinated esports entry despite only mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets bought Disguised within about 2 minutes at 30-36¢, and the price is now 74¢.
- One wallet has 1,225 resolved bets and is up $86.7k, adding some credibility to the cluster.
- The group put nearly $3.9k into one side, about 43% of market liquidity, showing real conviction.
$3,887 on Disguised
85% win-rate serial bettor
A proven high-win-rate serial esports trader bought LYON after a sharp short-term price drop, suggesting a disciplined rebound entry worth watching.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and has tracked over $1.0M across 66 events
- They bought LYON at 75¢ right after a fast 13.5-point drop, then the price moved up to 77¢
- A $3.7k buy is meaningful against $18.2k liquidity, showing real conviction rather than a tiny test trade
$3,748 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% win-rate esports bettor
A proven high-win-rate cross-market bettor with over 100 resolved bets bought LYON at 75¢, making this a modest but credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 105 resolved markets and is up $33k
- They have placed over $1.0M across 65 events, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- Bought LYON at 75¢ in a reasonably liquid market, showing straightforward directional conviction
$1,647 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xc690...42b8 — LYON, $28,865 (85% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — LYON, $11,093 (25% win rate)
- 0x3186...e9ca — LYON, $7,094 (59% win rate)
- 0x7553...65ca — Disguised, $6,095 (21% win rate)
- 0x6277...5a3f — Disguised, $6,053 (79% win rate)
- 0x823b...59e9 — Disguised, $4,626 (56% win rate)
- 0x93bc...8ca3 — Disguised, $3,761 (79% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Disguised, $3,194 (54% win rate)
- 0x74f5...b1c6 — LYON, $2,900 (50% win rate)
- 0x9bad...861f — Disguised, $2,841 (71% win rate)
