Part of: LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,540.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Eight-wallet Shopify contrarian cluster

Eight wallets committed $17,887 to Shopify Rebellion amid a 463.9x volume surge, making this a notable coordinated contrarian thesis despite the lead bettor now being underwater.

Eight wallets bought Shopify Rebellion for a combined $17,887 during a 463.9x volume spike.
The lead bettor entered at 52¢, but Shopify has fallen to roughly 26¢, so this position is currently losing heavily.
The bettor has a 61% win rate across 238 resolved trades, but that record is only modestly better than the 57¢ average winning price.

$1,248 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 63%

Eight-wallet underdog cluster

Eight wallets made a coordinated $17,887 bet on Shopify Rebellion, alongside a major volume spike and an experienced trader with substantial lifetime profits.

Eight wallets bought Shopify Rebellion for a combined $17,887, creating a strong one-sided signal.
The lead bettor has won 70% of 6,017 resolved trades and is up about $504,000 lifetime.
The $1,139 entry at 50¢ implies substantial confidence in an underdog that is currently priced around 26¢, though the position was later closed.

$1,139 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 70%

Eight-wallet LYON conviction cluster

Eight wallets deployed $13.7K on LYON alongside a major volume spike, including bettors with strong long-term records and a 96% win rate.

Eight wallets bought LYON for $13,740, creating a sharp one-sided flow and a 308x volume spike.
The cluster includes a bettor with a 96% win rate over 47 resolved positions and another at 78% over 334 bets.
Several wallets were adding to existing LYON positions, signaling increased conviction rather than isolated entries.

$19,153 on LYON

Top Holders

0x4b1d...76a0 — Outcome 15171182, $95,856 (90% win rate)
0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 15171182, $44,957 (96% win rate)
0xe100...4d41 — Outcome 15171182, $22,148 (66% win rate)
0xc4ac...9722 — Outcome 15171182, $20,265 (94% win rate)
0x9671...3a70 — Outcome 15171182, $10,000
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 15171182, $9,036 (80% win rate)
0x3471...f17e — Outcome 15171182, $8,088 (50% win rate)
0x0182...5d00 — Outcome 15171182, $7,539 (39% win rate)
0x2ff2...c175 — Outcome 15171182, $7,495 (78% win rate)
0x2d39...6053 — Outcome 15171182, $6,547 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

100 Thieves Win Valorant Map 2

Covers 1 related market

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$21,540 tracked3 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “LYON”

78¢

58¢

39¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction