Part of: LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 4 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 4 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,856.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

LYON position add amid volume surge

A bettor added to an existing LYON position amid a 14.3x volume spike and a 15.8-point price rise, though their track record is not especially strong.

  • The bettor added about $1,249 to an existing LYON position, showing increased conviction.
  • LYON saw a 14.3x volume spike as its price rose 15.8 percentage points.
  • The wallet has a 56% win rate across 1,548 resolved bets, so the market movement is a stronger signal than its track record.

$1,249 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly active bettor with a strong long-term record made a fresh LYON bet amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 1,618 resolved trades and is up nearly $297,000.
  • They placed a $1,124 LYON bet as pre-event trading volume surged to 24.9 times its usual level.
  • The wallet has bet across 44 events, with a 77% win rate on its tracked cross-market activity.

$1,124 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial trader backing LYON

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader sold Shopify Rebellion at 26¢, equivalent to backing LYON at 74¢, alongside an 80.9x volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $5.4M across more than 2,200 resolved bets, with a 71% win rate.
  • They sold Shopify Rebellion at 26¢, equivalent to buying LYON at 74¢; current odds have moved to 78%.
  • Market activity spiked to 80.9 times its 24-hour average during the trade window.

$1,171 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 71%

Four-wallet LYON buying cluster

Four wallets committed $9,575 to LYON, including one with substantial lifetime profits, making the coordinated position worth tracking despite mixed records among the group.

  • Four wallets put a combined $9,575 on LYON, a sizable one-sided position in this market.
  • One of the buyers is up $134,812 across 1,826 resolved bets; the other wallets have mixed or negative results.
  • The group entered around 71¢–75¢ while LYON is currently priced near 72¢.

$33,312 on LYON

Top Holders

  1. 0xb5a5...c668 — Shopify Rebellion, $42,040 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x0a53...077b — Shopify Rebellion, $10,835 (83% win rate)
  3. 0xec54...e8c1 — Shopify Rebellion, $7,023 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x479b...cdb1 — Shopify Rebellion, $5,625 (84% win rate)
  5. 0x303b...53ca — Shopify Rebellion, $5,000
  6. 0x000e...f7e9 — Shopify Rebellion, $4,972 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xc5b0...180d — Shopify Rebellion, $4,305 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x7dc0...9d48 — Shopify Rebellion, $4,186 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x3724...69b5 — Shopify Rebellion, $3,260 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xe502...4924 — Shopify Rebellion, $2,584 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Bilibili wins in five

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Movistar wins in five

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LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

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G2 beats Karmine Corp

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Team Liquid wins in five

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G2 Esports beats Karmine Corp

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LGD wins series 3-1

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Bilibili wins in five

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Gen.G wins after opener

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Hanwha Life sweeps T1

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LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$36,856 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
LYON
100¢
Shopify Rebellion
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 4 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 4 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-26 22:50 UTC

$1,249 on LYON at 89¢

89¢→100¢↑11¢

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-26 22:57 UTC

$1,124 on LYON at 75¢

75¢→100¢↑25¢

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-26 22:50 UTC

$1,171 on LYON at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-26 22:38 UTC

$33,312 on LYON at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

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Bilibili wins in five
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