Part of: LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Game 4 winner between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs Upper Bracket Semifinal 2, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00 PM ET. It resolves to LYON if LYON wins Game 4, or Team Liquid if Team Liquid wins; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,350 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market. The listed resolution date is May 25, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, with settlement based on the completed Game 4 result if a winner is determined.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 4 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 4 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,772.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with $454k lifetime P&L is backing Team Liquid across the event, though this specific entry has moved against them since the fill.
- This bettor is up $454k lifetime across 1,786 resolved markets.
- They have traded 427 events and are backing this matchup across 3 related markets for $8.5k.
- They paid 76¢ for Team Liquid, while the market is now around 62¢.
$1,350 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 59%
Serial cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Team Liquid after a significant price move.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 335 bets and is up $19.6k lifetime.
- They have traded 279 events and $1.8M total, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought $3.4k of Team Liquid at 78¢ after the market moved sharply their way.
$3,399 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 76%
Coordinated esports flow
Three wallets put $5.2k on Team Liquid amid a large event-wide positioning pattern, but the trade is volatile and has moved against their entries.
- Three wallets all bought Team Liquid for $5.2k, creating a one-sided move in a live esports market.
- The same event has seen $53.9k of cross-market positioning, suggesting a broader thesis rather than one isolated bet.
- Caution: Team Liquid is now 38¢ after entries from 44¢ to 78¢, so the market has moved sharply against these buys.
$5,206 on Team Liquid
Profitable esports specialist
Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% record and $710k lifetime profit bought LYON while positioning across multiple related markets.
- This bettor has won 72% of 888 resolved bets and is up $710k lifetime.
- They have traded 139 related events and are active across 5 markets in this match, totaling $53.9k.
- They bought LYON at 58¢ before the market moved to 62¢, suggesting the entry was well-timed.
$3,218 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 72%
Sharp 7-wallet cluster
A 7-wallet cluster bought $40.6k of LYON with multiple highly profitable esports bettors and strong event-wide positioning signals.
- Seven wallets bought $40.6k of LYON, pushing into the same side as odds moved from the low-50s to 62¢.
- Two standout bettors in the cluster win 85% and 91% of resolved trades, with about $1.0M combined profit.
- Several wallets are serial cross-market bettors in this event, including one with 139 events and a 72% win record.
$40,599 on LYON
Top Holders
- 0x6049...f14f — Team Liquid, $52,342
- 0xe405...c67e — LYON, $30,425 (60% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — LYON, $28,500 (71% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Team Liquid, $25,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — LYON, $20,500 (44% win rate)
- 0x82dc...5700 — Team Liquid, $12,560 (50% win rate)
- 0xb6ce...7a7d — Team Liquid, $12,549 (49% win rate)
- 0x204e...8d08 — Team Liquid, $10,000
- 0x62f1...8432 — Team Liquid, $9,771
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Team Liquid, $9,025 (95% win rate)
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