Part of: LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Game 4 winner between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs Upper Bracket Semifinal 2, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00 PM ET. It resolves to LYON if LYON wins Game 4, or Team Liquid if Team Liquid wins; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,350 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market. The listed resolution date is May 25, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, with settlement based on the completed Game 4 result if a winner is determined.

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 4 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 4 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,772.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with $454k lifetime P&L is backing Team Liquid across the event, though this specific entry has moved against them since the fill.

  • This bettor is up $454k lifetime across 1,786 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 427 events and are backing this matchup across 3 related markets for $8.5k.
  • They paid 76¢ for Team Liquid, while the market is now around 62¢.

$1,350 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 59%

Serial cross-market sharp

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Team Liquid after a significant price move.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades across 335 bets and is up $19.6k lifetime.
  • They have traded 279 events and $1.8M total, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • They bought $3.4k of Team Liquid at 78¢ after the market moved sharply their way.

$3,399 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 76%

Coordinated esports flow

Three wallets put $5.2k on Team Liquid amid a large event-wide positioning pattern, but the trade is volatile and has moved against their entries.

  • Three wallets all bought Team Liquid for $5.2k, creating a one-sided move in a live esports market.
  • The same event has seen $53.9k of cross-market positioning, suggesting a broader thesis rather than one isolated bet.
  • Caution: Team Liquid is now 38¢ after entries from 44¢ to 78¢, so the market has moved sharply against these buys.

$5,206 on Team Liquid

Profitable esports specialist

Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 72% record and $710k lifetime profit bought LYON while positioning across multiple related markets.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 888 resolved bets and is up $710k lifetime.
  • They have traded 139 related events and are active across 5 markets in this match, totaling $53.9k.
  • They bought LYON at 58¢ before the market moved to 62¢, suggesting the entry was well-timed.

$3,218 on LYON | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp 7-wallet cluster

A 7-wallet cluster bought $40.6k of LYON with multiple highly profitable esports bettors and strong event-wide positioning signals.

  • Seven wallets bought $40.6k of LYON, pushing into the same side as odds moved from the low-50s to 62¢.
  • Two standout bettors in the cluster win 85% and 91% of resolved trades, with about $1.0M combined profit.
  • Several wallets are serial cross-market bettors in this event, including one with 139 events and a 72% win record.

$40,599 on LYON

Top Holders

  1. 0x6049...f14f Team Liquid, $52,342
  2. 0xe405...c67e LYON, $30,425 (60% win rate)
  3. 0xcf60...a6f5 LYON, $28,500 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x1341...0853 Team Liquid, $25,000 (86% win rate)
  5. 0xfbf3...b218 LYON, $20,500 (44% win rate)
  6. 0x82dc...5700 Team Liquid, $12,560 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xb6ce...7a7d Team Liquid, $12,549 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x204e...8d08 Team Liquid, $10,000
  9. 0x62f1...8432 Team Liquid, $9,771
  10. 0xfc25...1f7f Team Liquid, $9,025 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

Covers 5 related markets

G2 beats Karmine Corp

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will sweep Gen.G

Covers 3 related markets

EDG reverse sweeps NIP

Covers 5 related markets

DRX series, BRION early games

Covers 3 related markets

Movistar wins, Vitality takes Game 3

Covers 3 related markets

Aurora wins in five

Covers 5 related markets

BNK reverse sweeps Dplus KIA

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

32mLoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$53,772 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
LYON
0¢
Team Liquid
100¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 4 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 4 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
72¢
43¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$1,350 on Team Liquid at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

1h ago

$3,399 on Team Liquid at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

2h ago

$5,206 on Team Liquid at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

2h ago

$3,218 on LYON at 58¢

58¢0¢58¢

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

2h ago

$40,599 on LYON at 55¢

55¢0¢55¢

Related Theses

Movistar wins in five
Wallet_0xf201a trades 4 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid
Wallet_0xf201a trades 5 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
G2 beats Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xf201a trades 5 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esport…
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - G…LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO…LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - G…
T1 will sweep Gen.G
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK R…LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winn…LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winn…
EDG reverse sweeps NIP
Wallet_0xf201a trades 5 related markets
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDwa…LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDwa…LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDwa…
DRX series, BRION early games
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRIO…
Movistar wins, Vitality takes Game 3
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar…LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar…LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar…
Aurora wins in five
Wallet_0xf201a trades 5 related markets
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora -…Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora -…
BNK reverse sweeps Dplus KIA
Wallet_0xf201a trades 3 related markets
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (B…LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - …LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - …