Part of: LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,431.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor leads eight-wallet push

Eight-wallet Natus Vincere buying aligned with a 98% long-term bettor, a major volume spike, and a move from roughly 50% to 64%, though prior positions and opposing flow temper the signal.

One participating bettor has won 98% of 271 resolved positions and is up $132,256.
Eight wallets committed $13,787 to Natus Vincere around 50%, followed by the market moving to 64%.
The trade came during a 158x volume spike, although all eight wallets were already holding Natus Vincere positions.

$13,808 on Natus Vincere

Sharp bettor in 10-wallet KOI cluster

A highly profitable sharp bettor joined a 10-wallet one-sided KOI position during a major pre-event volume surge, despite the price later falling from 52% to 36%.

This bettor wins 82% of 1,608 resolved trades and is up $4.63 million lifetime.
Ten wallets bought Movistar KOI together for $25,249 during a 158x volume spike.
The position entered at 52%, while the market now prices KOI at 36%, making this a contrarian trade with meaningful downside already reflected.

$5,202 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp bettor leads 10-wallet KOI cluster

A highly profitable sharp bettor bought Movistar KOI alongside nine other wallets despite the price later falling, making this a notable coordinated contrarian position.

This bettor has won 76% of 2,179 resolved trades and is up $695,315.
Ten wallets bought Movistar KOI for $25,249 amid a 158x pre-event volume spike.
The trader flipped from a closed Natus Vincere position into KOI at 50%, showing a fresh directional view despite the price now sitting near 36%.

$1,498 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 77%

93% winner scaling into KOI

A highly successful bettor with a 13-1 record and substantial measured edge is adding $2,924 to an existing Movistar KOI position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved trades and is up $8,587.
They are adding $2,924 to an existing Movistar KOI position at 56¢, signaling increased conviction.
Market volume is running 300x its recent average while KOI has risen 6.5% over the day.

$2,924 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0xf201...527e — Outcome 59978156, $37,946 (70% win rate)
0x19ae...395c — Outcome 59978156, $19,492 (49% win rate)
0xec54...e8c1 — Outcome 59978156, $11,000 (44% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 59978156, $9,190 (65% win rate)
0x5d7e...2ef7 — Outcome 59978156, $9,100 (80% win rate)
0x2ac3...6ec2 — Outcome 59978156, $8,019 (71% win rate)
0xec98...afcd — Outcome 59978156, $5,082 (54% win rate)
0x9671...3a70 — Outcome 59978156, $5,000
0x9942...f1ab — Outcome 59978156, $5,000
0xd8af...9ea8 — Outcome 59978156, $4,100 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$23,431 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Movistar KOI. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Movistar KOI”

102¢

70¢

38¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction