Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,474.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
95% serial esports sharp
Surface: a highly proven serial cross-market esports bettor bought Natus Vincere despite a small adverse move, with a 95% historical win rate and six-figure profit.
- This bettor has won 95% of 3,773 resolved trades and is up $166,871 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.55M flagged across 88 events, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
- Entry at 89¢ is near the current 86–87¢ market, so the copy window is still close to their price.
$2,935 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable esports grinder
A highly experienced and profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Natus Vincere despite a small adverse move, alongside a notable pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,579 resolved bets, 59% wins, and about $385K in profit.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with over $2.0M deployed across 694 markets.
- Market volume is running 29x above normal before the match, suggesting real attention on this price.
$1,335 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable cluster fades favorite
Three profitable esports bettors sold the heavy favorite together amid a large pre-event volume spike, implying a coordinated Galions buy despite NAVI price momentum moving against them.
- Three profitable wallets are all taking the Galions side, including one up $384k lifetime across 1,579 resolved bets.
- This is coordinated flow: 3 wallets put $11.2k against the 92% favorite within minutes.
- One wallet has a 73% record and is also active across 3 related markets in this event.
$11,203 on Galions
Profitable trader follows steam
Profitable serial trader joined a 7-wallet one-sided move on Natus Vincere before the price surged from 63¢ to 88¢.
- This bettor is up $84K lifetime across 234 resolved bets and regularly trades across esports events.
- Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere in the same window, totaling $16K on one side.
- The entry at 63¢ caught a sharp move to 88¢, backed by a 50x pre-event volume spike.
$2,520 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 58%
Proven serial esports sharp
Highly proven esports bettor bought Natus Vincere amid one-sided coordinated flow, a major volume spike, and a 26-point price move.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $93,095 lifetime across more than $3.2M invested.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for $16,237, with Natus Vincere moving from about 62¢ to 88¢.
- A 49.7x volume spike before the match suggests heavy pre-event conviction behind the move.
$1,119 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial trader joins steam
Profitable serial esports trader bought Natus Vincere amid coordinated one-sided flow, a 50x volume spike, and a sharp price move upward.
- This bettor has a long record across 644 resolved markets and is up about $765k lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Natus Vincere in the same window, totaling $16.2k on one side.
- The market saw a 50x volume spike and Natus Vincere moved from 82¢ to 88¢ after the buy.
$2,542 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial trader fading favorite
Profitable high-volume esports/sports trader is effectively backing Galions at 16¢ while the market has surged toward Natus Vincere.
- This bettor is up $384k lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved markets.
- They are effectively buying Galions at 16¢ by selling Natus Vincere at 84¢.
- The market has seen an 80x volume spike and a 20-point move toward Natus, making this a notable contrarian fade.
$4,200 on Galions | Wallet win rate: 57%
7-wallet sharp esports pile-on
Strong seven-wallet one-sided buy cluster on Natus Vincere, backed by a 64x volume spike, 20-point price move, and multiple profitable esports-style cross-market bettors.
- Seven wallets bought $16.2K of Natus Vincere in the same burst, pushing the price from around 60¢ to 84¢.
- The flow includes proven bettors, including one up $765K lifetime and another who wins 78% of resolved bets.
- Volume spiked 64x above normal, suggesting the move was driven by concentrated pre-match conviction.
$16,237 on Natus Vincere
Profitable serial esports trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with 234 resolved bets bought Natus Vincere at 68%, and the market has already moved to 76%.
- This bettor is up $85.8K across 234 resolved bets, with a 58% win rate at roughly even prices.
- They are highly active across related markets, with $656K traded over 101 events.
- They bought Natus Vincere at 68%, and the market has already moved to 76%.
$1,252 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 58%
93% win-rate esports sharp
A highly proven esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and +$654k P&L bought $12.9k of Natus Vincere at 68¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $654k lifetime.
- They have traded 874 events with $1.69M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A $12.9k buy at 68¢ shows meaningful conviction on Natus Vincere.
$12,850 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Galions, $22,222 (86% win rate)
- 0xec92...6b59 — Galions, $15,554 (83% win rate)
- 0xc75a...1ab2 — Galions, $14,653 (41% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Galions, $13,657 (62% win rate)
- 0xb635...bef0 — Galions, $4,817 (59% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — Galions, $4,211 (67% win rate)
- 0x5809...9868 — Galions, $3,123 (71% win rate)
- 0x40ce...bf90 — Galions, $2,750 (98% win rate)
- 0x9ac5...bb92 — Galions, $2,682 (88% win rate)
- 0x3dc4...7c1d — Galions, $2,353 (36% win rate)
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