Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winner
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,240.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports position flipper
A profitable serial cross-market esports bettor bought Galions as the price surged, with a strong 234-bet record and $84k lifetime profit.
- This bettor is up $84,291 lifetime across 234 resolved bets, with a 58% win rate at roughly even-money entries.
- They flipped from a prior Natus Vincere position into Galions, suggesting a changed read rather than routine profit-taking.
- Galions moved sharply from the high 80s to 94%, and this entry at 89¢ still had room before the current price.
$1,009 on Galions | Wallet win rate: 57%
85% winner in cluster
Surface because a proven 85% winner with positive lifetime profit joined a 4-wallet Natus Vincere buy cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $42,034 lifetime.
- Four wallets put $8,869 on Natus Vincere, a meaningful 57% of current market liquidity.
- Their average entry was around 59¢, while the market is now 28¢, offering a much cheaper copy price if their read is right.
$8,869 on Natus Vincere
Sharp 5-wallet cluster
A five-wallet cluster, including a proven 85% winner and several profitable high-volume esports bettors, bought Natus Vincere in the same direction during a major volume spike.
- Five wallets put $9.1k on Natus Vincere during a 20x volume spike.
- One bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $42k lifetime.
- Natus is now 42%, well below the cluster’s roughly 66¢ average entry.
$9,051 on Natus Vincere
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly experienced profitable cross-market trader with $202k lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere despite the price now drifting lower.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 1,397 resolved bets and $202k lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 145 events tracked and over $308k in flagged activity.
- Entry at 70¢ shows strong conviction on Natus Vincere, though the market has since moved down to 64¢.
$2,794 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor with a long track record is backing Natus Vincere at 67¢ despite only a moderate standalone signal.
- This bettor has a large track record: 1,933 resolved bets and $316K in lifetime profit.
- They regularly trade across related markets, with 281 events and $785K flagged in this pattern.
- Entry at 67¢ implies confidence in Natus Vincere despite the market now sitting near 64¢.
$2,733 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 61%
95% winner backs underdog
Elite 95% lifetime winner with large positive P&L is buying Galions in an esports market, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $445K lifetime.
- They have traded across 150 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying Galions at 35¢ means they are backing the underdog against the market’s 34% price.
$1,783 on Galions | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xf859...a183 — Outcome 53822589, $7,791 (55% win rate)
- 0xc75a...1ab2 — Outcome 53822589, $7,628 (47% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Outcome 53822589, $5,025 (73% win rate)
- 0x5b10...9659 — Outcome 53822589, $4,000 (72% win rate)
- 0x60d0...e05f — Outcome 53822589, $3,200 (56% win rate)
- 0x7a0f...1305 — Outcome 53822589, $2,998 (92% win rate)
- 0x9ac5...bb92 — Outcome 53822589, $2,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x5809...9868 — Outcome 53822589, $1,771 (71% win rate)
- 0xeed6...ec56 — Outcome 53822589, $1,561 (86% win rate)
- 0x0b26...6091 — Outcome 53822589, $1,509
Related Theses
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