Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,498.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor joins 11-wallet KOI flow

A highly profitable serial bettor is adding to a Movistar KOI position amid a major one-sided market flow and volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 68 of 68 resolved positions, earning $53,122 on a 58¢ average entry.
  • They are adding to Movistar KOI at 63¢, while 11 wallets have bought the same outcome for $70,219 total.
  • Trading volume is running over 1,000 times its historical average, and KOI has risen to 68% implied probability.

$1,080 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 100%

Linked Natus cluster amid opposing whale flow

A linked five-wallet group made a concentrated Natus Vincere bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though stronger opposing flow and mixed trader records make this a high-risk signal.

  • Five linked wallets bought $15,664 of Natus Vincere, including two traders with substantial lifetime profits.
  • The market saw a 1,033× historical volume spike, but Natus fell from the cluster’s 35–40¢ entries to 32¢.
  • An opposing 11-wallet cluster bought $70,219 of Movistar KOI, making this a contested and risky setup rather than a clean copy trade.

$15,664 on Natus Vincere

9-0 sharp adding to NaVi

A highly profitable 9-0 bettor added $5.4K to an existing Natus Vincere position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite the price later falling.

  • This bettor has won all 9 resolved trades and is up $126,302 overall.
  • They added $5,421 to Natus Vincere at 45¢, increasing an existing $12,030 position.
  • The market saw an extreme 8,502x historical volume spike, although NaVi has since fallen to about 36¢.

$5,421 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettors cluster on Movistar KOI

A three-wallet Movistar KOI cluster includes two highly profitable bettors and a major pre-event volume spike, despite one participant having a losing track record.

  • Two participating bettors have strong records: one wins 86% of 805 bets and is up $638K, while another wins 76% and is up $146K.
  • Three wallets bought Movistar KOI at 59¢ for $5,736, creating a concentrated one-sided position before the match.
  • The trades coincided with a 6,640x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-event conviction.

$6,911 on Movistar KOI

Perfect-record bettor adds to NaVi

A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 9-0 resolved record added $10.4K to Natus Vincere during an extreme volume spike in a relatively quiet esports market.

  • This bettor has won all 9 resolved trades and is up $126,302 overall.
  • They added $10,421 to Natus Vincere, increasing an existing position despite the market pricing NaVi near 42%.
  • The trades represented over 2,800% of the reported 24-hour volume and coincided with a major volume spike.

$10,421 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc1c7...f0a7 Outcome 71244617, $19,890 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x1660...5598 Outcome 71244617, $18,766 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x8c60...f575 Outcome 71244617, $16,038
  4. 0x6842...20d0 Outcome 71244617, $14,190 (67% win rate)
  5. 0xf201...527e Outcome 71244617, $13,337 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x7a0f...1305 Outcome 71244617, $10,610 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x3186...e9ca Outcome 71244617, $9,779 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x2801...b5cc Outcome 71244617, $9,591 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x74b7...8b0b Outcome 71244617, $8,777 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x58a3...5336 Outcome 71244617, $8,500 (95% win rate)

Related Theses

Movistar KOI win series, split games

Covers 4 related markets

Natus Vincere wins series and games

Covers 3 related markets

JD Gaming wins every game

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili Gaming Wins Game One

Covers 1 related market

Hanjin Brion wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Bilibili Gaming will beat JD Gaming

Covers 1 related market

BNK FearX Wins Game One

Covers 1 related market

Anyone’s Legend Will Defeat Top Esports

Covers 1 related market

JD Gaming wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

DN SOOPers win Game 2

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$39,498 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
65¢
28¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$1,080 on Movistar KOI at 63¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$15,664 on Natus Vincere at 35¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$5,421 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$6,911 on Movistar KOI at 59¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$10,421 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

Related Theses