Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $82,890.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

25-wallet KOI conviction cluster

A large, coordinated Movistar KOI position entered around 60% and was followed by a move to 88%, with several participating wallets showing strong historical profitability.

  • 25 wallets committed about $68,000 to Movistar KOI near 59–63¢ before the price rose to 88¢.
  • The flow included bettors with 76–90% win rates and substantial lifetime profits, adding credibility to the directional move.
  • A 1,126× volume spike and 30.5-point daily move confirm unusually strong market activity, though the opportunity has largely repriced.

$68,210 on Movistar KOI

97% win-rate serial esports bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge made a fresh $1,140 purchase on Natus Vincere amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 561 resolved trades and is up $377,572 lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 38¢, below the current 42¢ market price, implying a strong edge at entry.
  • Trading across 74 markets and 64 events, this serial bettor entered during a 50x volume spike.

$1,140 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%

87% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable sharp bettor with an 87% win rate and $3.89M profit made an $11,000 concentrated bet on Movistar KOI.

  • This bettor has won 166 of 190 resolved positions, earning $3.89M while entering at an average price of 43%.
  • The $11,000 bet represents 75.5% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction on Movistar KOI at 62¢.
  • The wallet has traded 280 markets across 230 events and is also active across three markets in this event.

$11,000 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 67%

91% winner backs Movistar KOI

A highly proven esports bettor with a 91% win rate and $1.46M profit made a fresh $2,540 position in a very low-activity market.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 1,710 resolved trades and is up $1.46 million.
  • The $2,540 position was more than 24 times the detected 24-hour trading volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • The trader has applied this approach across 386 events and 568 markets, rather than making an isolated bet.

$2,540 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c37...6aeb Outcome 81497345, $50,000 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x8a65...9e1c Outcome 81497345, $32,573
  3. 0x58a3...5336 Outcome 81497345, $16,000 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x1037...5b09 Outcome 81497345, $15,000 (91% win rate)
  5. 0xa103...1c14 Outcome 81497345, $14,569 (73% win rate)
  6. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 81497345, $9,646 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x57b4...b46b Outcome 81497345, $8,344 (93% win rate)
  8. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 81497345, $7,777 (85% win rate)
  9. 0x2801...b5cc Outcome 81497345, $7,478 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x0753...0caa Outcome 81497345, $6,300

Related Theses

Shopify Rebellion sweeps FlyQuest 2-0

Covers 3 related markets

KOI takes Games 2-3, NaVi series

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus wins BO5 3-2

Covers 3 related markets

Dplus KIA wins comeback series

Covers 4 related markets

Top Esports wins a 3-2 series

Covers 5 related markets

Team WE will beat JD Gaming across series games

Covers 4 related markets

Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series

Covers 4 related markets

Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend

Covers 3 related markets

T1 will sweep Hanwha Life

Covers 4 related markets

JD Gaming sweeps Invictus Gaming

Covers 4 related markets

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$82,890 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 3 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 3 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Movistar KOI
101¢
77¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

2d ago

$68,210 on Movistar KOI at 60¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

2d ago

$1,140 on Natus Vincere at 38¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

2d ago

$11,000 on Movistar KOI at 62¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner

2d ago

$2,540 on Movistar KOI at 60¢

Related Theses

Shopify Rebellion sweeps FlyQuest 2-0
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQ…LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQ…LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQ…
KOI takes Games 2-3, NaVi series
Wallet_0x8a868 trades 3 related markets
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar…LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar…LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar…
Dplus wins BO5 3-2
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LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (…
Dplus KIA wins comeback series
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (B…Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BN…LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - …
Top Esports wins a 3-2 series
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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus G…
Team WE will beat JD Gaming across series games
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LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…
Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series
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LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…
Bilibili reverse-sweeps Anyone’s Legend
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…
T1 will sweep Hanwha Life
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…
JD Gaming sweeps Invictus Gaming
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gam…