Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 4 against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win Game 4 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $134,935.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% winner backs Movistar KOI
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Movistar KOI at 62%.
- This bettor has won 91% of 1,710 resolved trades and earned $1.46M in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 569 markets and 387 events, showing an extensive and repeatable record rather than a one-off bet.
- Movistar KOI was bought at 62%, with the $2,342 position representing meaningful conviction in a relatively low-volume market.
$1,885 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 91%
Perfect-record bettor scaling into NAV
A proven 10-0 bettor is adding heavily to Natus Vincere alongside five other wallets, with coordinated event-wide positioning and a major volume surge.
- This bettor has won all 10 resolved trades and is up $132,749 lifetime.
- Six wallets placed $40,138 on Natus Vincere, while the market saw a 679x volume spike versus its baseline.
- The wallet is adding to an existing $41,667 Natus Vincere position, and the price has risen 23% in one day.
$22,638 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 99%
24-wallet KOI conviction cluster
A large coordinated Movistar KOI position entered around 63-65¢, drove the price to 90%, and includes several highly profitable repeat bettors.
- 24 wallets committed about $103,835 to Movistar KOI, with most entries near 63-65¢ before the contract reached 90¢.
- Several participants have strong records, including bettors with 85-93% win rates and substantial positive P&L across hundreds of resolved positions.
- The 35.9x volume spike and 15.9-point price move reinforce this as a significant coordinated directional trade, though the current price is already well above the alert entries.
$103,835 on Movistar KOI
91% winner backs Movistar KOI
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Movistar KOI at 62%.
- This bettor has won 91% of 1,710 resolved trades and earned $1.46M in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 569 markets and 387 events, showing an extensive and repeatable record rather than a one-off bet.
- Movistar KOI was bought at 62%, with the $2,342 position representing meaningful conviction in a relatively low-volume market.
$1,353 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 91%
Four-wallet Na'Vi betting cluster
A four-wallet Natus Vincere cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike make this a notable directional signal, despite the trader adding to a losing existing position and lacking clear odds-adjusted edge.
- Four wallets bought Natus Vincere for a combined $9,684, creating a strong one-sided signal.
- Trading volume spiked to 4,841 times its recent average ahead of the match.
- This serial bettor has 2,556 resolved bets and $2.77M in profit, though the 70% win rate is less impressive against a 78% average winning price; the wallet is adding to an existing Na'Vi position after the price fell from 38¢ to 26¢.
$2,882 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 70%
91% winner backs Movistar KOI
A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is backing Movistar KOI at 62%.
- This bettor has won 91% of 1,710 resolved trades and earned $1.46M in profit.
- The wallet has traded across 569 markets and 387 events, showing an extensive and repeatable record rather than a one-off bet.
- Movistar KOI was bought at 62%, with the $2,342 position representing meaningful conviction in a relatively low-volume market.
$2,342 on Movistar KOI | Wallet win rate: 91%
Related Theses
AL wins Games 1–3, BLG Game 4
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Series tied after four games
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Ninjas win series despite LGD wins
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Natus Vincere wins series and games
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JD Gaming wins every game
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Movistar KOI win series, split games
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T1 wins the bookend games
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Anyone’s Legend wins 3-1
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Vitality wins series despite KOI games
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Global Esports beats LOUD
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