Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,737.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven esports bettor buys NAVI early

A highly experienced, profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge bought Natus Vincere at a significant discount to current odds.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 693 resolved positions and is up $1.45 million.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 59%, while the market has since risen to 73%.
  • The wallet has traded across 470 markets and 435 events, indicating extensive repeat experience rather than a one-off bet.

$4,232 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Natus push

Three wallets bought Natus Vincere for $6,284, including a proven 86% bettor with a meaningful edge and a serial cross-market record.

  • A bettor with an 86% win rate across 104 resolved trades bought Natus Vincere at 68¢ and is up $58,007.
  • Three wallets committed $6,284 to Natus Vincere within eight minutes, creating a clear one-sided signal.
  • The broader trader has appeared across 35 events with an 86% win rate, though two wallets were already holding Natus positions.

$6,284 on Natus Vincere

89% winner scaling into Shifters

A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $9,500 to an existing Shifters position at 32%.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 38 resolved positions and is up $438,035 lifetime.
  • They are adding another $9,500 to an existing Shifters position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
  • The 32¢ entry implies the trader sees Shifters as materially undervalued despite the market assigning only a 32% chance.

$9,500 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 67%

91% win-rate bettor backs Shifters

A highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a meaningful position on Shifters at 31%.

  • This bettor has won 568 of 624 resolved positions, with $3.44M in reported profit.
  • The $1,721 Shifters position is a fresh underdog bet at 31%, despite the market pricing them near 32%.
  • The wallet has traded across 149 events and 203 markets, suggesting a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off result.

$1,721 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 — Shifters, $45,847 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xe015...6ffd — Shifters, $34,906 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x4421...80d2 — Shifters, $12,729
  4. 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Shifters, $9,375 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x21b7...c861 — Shifters, $7,000 (48% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 — Shifters, $5,818 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x5d34...7c8c — Shifters, $5,000 (78% win rate)
  8. 0xdb15...8393 — Shifters, $4,521 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x3833...33d1 — Shifters, $4,447 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x69b1...2687 — Shifters, $3,030 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

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Hanwha Life wins Games 2-4 and series

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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$21,737 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Natus Vincere
100¢
Shifters
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-03 15:54 UTC

$4,232 on Natus Vincere at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-03 15:17 UTC

$6,284 on Natus Vincere at 68¢

68¢→100¢↑32¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-03 13:41 UTC

$9,500 on Shifters at 32¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

2026-08-03 10:24 UTC

$1,721 on Shifters at 31¢

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