Part of: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,215.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors in contested LoL market

A large coordinated Shifters position coincided with a 15-point market move and includes activity associated with highly profitable bettors, although substantial linked opposition makes this a contested trade.

  • Eleven wallets bought $29,189 of Shifters, with the largest entries around 39¢–43¢ before the price reached 52¢.
  • The market saw a 1,556× volume spike and Shifters gained roughly 15 percentage points, signaling unusually strong event-specific conviction.
  • Several associated bettors have exceptional records, including 96% and 99% win rates, but eight linked wallets also bought Natus Vincere for $67,345.

$29,189 on Shifters

Linked cluster led by 94% bettor

A linked five-wallet cluster placed $53,973 on Natus Vincere in a thin market, including a highly profitable 94% bettor with substantial historical edge.

  • Five linked wallets concentrated $53,973 on Natus Vincere, nearly nine times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The largest bettor wins 94% of 170 resolved positions, is up $6.05M, and typically wins at around 55% odds.
  • The group entered around 58–63% while the market is now 56%, offering a potentially better copy entry despite recent 8-point price weakness.

$53,973 on Natus Vincere

96% winner backs Shifters

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a fresh $11,036 Shifters position amid a five-wallet one-sided buying cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 675 resolved positions and is up $5.8 million.
  • They bought $11,036 of Shifters around 42–43%, with the price already rising to 44%.
  • Five wallets bought Shifters for a combined $19,378 during a 1,787x volume spike.

$11,036 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 96%

99% winner adding to Shifters

A remarkably profitable serial bettor is adding to a Shifters position amid a five-wallet one-sided surge and an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 93 resolved positions and earned $142,378 in profit, with average winning entries around 50%.
  • Five wallets are buying Shifters for a combined $19,378, while market activity is running 1,787 times above its recent average.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Shifters position at 40¢, despite the outcome trading near 44%, signaling strong conviction.

$1,147 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 97%

Serial sharp in five-wallet Shifters cluster

A proven serial bettor with a strong record joined a five-wallet Shifters cluster during an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 525 resolved trades and is up $826,643 lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought Shifters for a combined $19,378 during a 1,787x volume spike.
  • The trade entered Shifters at 41%, while the market has only moved to 44%, leaving room before the 51% copy ceiling.

$2,870 on Shifters | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 89592105, $70,845 (59% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 89592105, $33,327 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xf201...527e Outcome 89592105, $13,669 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 89592105, $9,253 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x1b4d...e246 Outcome 89592105, $7,000 (72% win rate)
  6. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 89592105, $6,480 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x2391...554f Outcome 89592105, $5,256 (97% win rate)
  8. 0x4421...80d2 Outcome 89592105, $5,000
  9. 0xc44f...d49f Outcome 89592105, $4,767 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xf163...ca34 Outcome 89592105, $4,000 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Exactly four goals scored

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TheMongolz sweep FaZe 2-0

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LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$98,215 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
72¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

20d ago

$29,189 on Shifters at 42¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

20d ago

$53,973 on Natus Vincere at 58¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

20d ago

$11,036 on Shifters at 42¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

20d ago

$1,147 on Shifters at 40¢

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner

20d ago

$2,870 on Shifters at 41¢

Related Theses

Exactly four goals scored
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NRG wins maps two through four
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