Part of: LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner of the League of Legends LJL Regular Season match between New Meta and Rising Gaming, scheduled for May 21 at 7:00AM ET. It resolves to New Meta or Rising Gaming based on who wins Game 1, with final resolution expected by May 21, 2026 at 16:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $6,089 in smart money across 3 signals, including underdog whale activity and profitable serial bettor alerts.

This market refers to the LoL match between New Meta and Rising Gaming in the LJL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 21 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "New Meta" if New Meta win Game 1 against Rising Gaming. This market will resolve to "Rising Gaming" if Rising Gaming win Game 1 against New Meta. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,225.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% serial winner

Surfacing because this is a highly proven cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and +$241k lifetime P&L buying New Meta despite only a moderate alert score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $241,576 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 256 events and 901 markets.
  • Entry at 69¢ shows conviction on New Meta in a market with a wide 11¢ spread.

$1,346 on New Meta | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% win-rate esports sharp

Surface despite low composite because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and $60.8k profit making a fresh esports bet.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $60.8k lifetime.
  • They put $2.3k on this side at 67¢, above the current 55¢ market price.
  • Their average winning entry is 68¢, matching this high-conviction favorite-style bet.

$2,302 on New Meta | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with a 198-bet history is buying New Meta after a sharp 16-point move in a relatively wide-spread esports market.

  • This bettor is up $36.7K lifetime across 198 resolved bets.
  • They have traded across 36 events, suggesting a repeatable niche-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • New Meta has already moved up 16 points, and this wallet entered near the current market price at 47¢.

$2,441 on New Meta | Wallet win rate: 59%

Fresh wallet repeat bettor

A 4-hour-old wallet has now made three large flagged bets totaling about $6.9k, including a $2.8k buy on New Meta in a niche esports market.

  • This wallet is only 4 hours old but has already placed about $6.9k in flagged large bets.
  • The $2.8k buy is a meaningful position in a niche LoL market with about $19k liquidity.
  • Entry at 37¢ implies they are taking the underdog side despite the market now sitting near 34¢.

$2,794 on New Meta

New wallet underdog whale

A 4-hour-old wallet made repeated large underdog buys on a niche esports market, suggesting fresh conviction but with no proven track record yet.

  • A brand-new wallet put $5.0K on New Meta within minutes, totaling about 16% of the market’s volume.
  • This is the wallet’s third large flagged bet despite being under 4 hours old, suggesting deliberate positioning.
  • Entry was 37¢ and the market is now 34¢, so the same side is available below the bettor’s price.

$5,014 on New Meta

Fresh wallet backing underdog

Very fresh wallet put $6.9k across three buys on the New Meta underdog in a niche esports market, suggesting concentrated conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A wallet less than 4 hours old bought $6.9k of New Meta across three repeat trades.
  • The bet is large for this market, equal to about 45% of displayed liquidity.
  • Entry at 37¢ backs the underdog and implies a near 2.7x payout if New Meta wins Game 1.

$6,864 on New Meta

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume serial bettor with a 66% resolved win rate is making a large Rising Gaming buy on a relatively quiet LoL market.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 503 resolved markets and is up $827K lifetime.
  • They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $2.49M staked across 431 markets.
  • This $4.5K buy is large for the market and backs Rising Gaming at 62¢.

$4,464 on Rising Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xda6a...5b40 New Meta, $17,151 (99% win rate)
  2. 0xda3a...381f Rising Gaming, $11,499 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x4d51...4946 New Meta, $10,444
  4. 0xac75...1319 Rising Gaming, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x9770...0ff5 Rising Gaming, $7,200 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x31d4...a7ab New Meta, $4,733 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x7311...2cf5 New Meta, $4,206
  8. 0xdb83...1e50 Rising Gaming, $2,000 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x58f8...dc70 New Meta, $1,955 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x9d87...a82b New Meta, $1,878 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

NightBirds sweep eSuba

Covers 4 related markets

Nongshim upset KT Rolster

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

3hLoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular Season$25,225 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
New Meta
100¢
Rising Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between New Meta and Rising Gaming in the LJL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 21 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "New Meta" if New Meta win Game 1 against Rising Gaming. This market will resolve to "Rising Gaming" if Rising Gaming win Game 1 against New Meta. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “New Meta
102¢
66¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,346 on New Meta at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$2,302 on New Meta at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$2,441 on New Meta at 47¢

47¢100¢53¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,794 on New Meta at 37¢

37¢100¢63¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$5,014 on New Meta at 37¢

37¢100¢63¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

4h ago

$6,864 on New Meta at 37¢

37¢100¢63¢

LoL: New Meta vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winner

4h ago

$4,464 on Rising Gaming at 62¢

62¢0¢62¢

Related Theses