LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

This Polymarket tracks the League of Legends LPL Group Ascend best-of-3 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming, originally scheduled for April 8 at 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days resulting in different resolution handling under the market rules. Traders watching this market are following both match odds and notable smart money signals tied to the NiP vs IG matchup.

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,438.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial event trader chasing move

Surface this because a highly active cross-market bettor bought into a sharp pre-match move on Invictus Gaming as volume surged and price jumped more than 27 points.

  • This wallet has traded 193 markets across 168 events and has stayed profitable over more than $1.1M wagered
  • The bet followed a 33x volume spike and a 27-point jump toward Invictus Gaming, showing strong one-sided momentum
  • They paid 81¢ in a liquid market, backing the favorite even after a big move

$2,237 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp contrarian esports cluster

Three wallets piled into Ninjas in Pyjamas as the price collapsed, including two very active cross-market traders with strong historical hit rates, making this a notable contrarian esports cluster worth watching.

  • Three wallets all bet Ninjas in Pyjamas together as the market swung hard the other way
  • Two of the wallets have strong long-run records, including one bettor who wins 88% of 1,152 resolved markets
  • They entered around 47-54¢ while Ninjas now trades at 26¢, showing aggressive conviction into a sharp price drop

$3,611 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Profitable serial event bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term profit record bought Invictus Gaming before a sharp move from 55¢ to 74¢, making this a noteworthy momentum-follow trade.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 1,210 resolved trades and is up about $614k lifetime
  • They bought Invictus Gaming at 55¢, and the market moved to 74¢ soon after
  • This wallet has traded 154 markets across 92 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading process

$1,576 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 65%

85% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial event trader with an 85% win rate bought Ninjas in Pyjamas into a major pre-match volume surge, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $93k on $324k invested
  • They have traded 56 markets across 33 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 38¢ during a 248x volume spike, suggesting informed pre-match positioning

$1,865 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 85%

89% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and nearly $292k profit is taking a fresh position on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 39¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up about $292k across 282 resolved markets
  • They trade across 305 events and 338 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hot streak
  • Bought Ninjas in Pyjamas at 39¢, a price that implies they see the team as meaningfully undervalued

$1,149 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe96f...ff4b Ninjas in Pyjamas, $24,957 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Ninjas in Pyjamas, $10,032 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x3eb3...4d75 Invictus Gaming, $7,523 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x9772...4867 Invictus Gaming, $7,465 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x0a63...fc03 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $7,445 (89% win rate)
  6. 0x689a...ab74 Invictus Gaming, $6,386
  7. 0x7bd8...a879 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $5,561 (47% win rate)
  8. 0xd3d2...fe85 Invictus Gaming, $5,492 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xb8cb...8f46 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $5,085
  10. 0xb03f...9429 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $4,907 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

4h$10,438 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Ninjas in Pyjamas
20¢
Invictus Gaming
81¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Invictus Gaming
73¢
66¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

31m ago

$2,237 on Invictus Gaming at 81¢

81¢81¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

52m ago

$3,611 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 52¢

52¢20¢32¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

42m ago

$1,576 on Invictus Gaming at 55¢

55¢81¢26¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

1h ago

$1,865 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 38¢

38¢20¢18¢

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

2h ago

$1,149 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 39¢

39¢20¢19¢

Related Theses

NiP vs Invictus Gaming Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter