Part of: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $203,167.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

17-wallet LGD conviction cluster

A large, coordinated LGD Gaming position involving 17 wallets and several highly profitable bettors is notable despite the market moving sharply against it.

Seventeen wallets committed nearly $97,000 to LGD Gaming, including bettors with 80%–83% win rates and meaningful lifetime profits.
The activity produced a 198x volume spike in a relatively thin $33,881-liquidity market, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction.
LGD was bought around 42–48¢ but has fallen to 24¢, so the thesis remains unconfirmed and copying carries substantial risk.

$96,952 on LGD Gaming

87% winner leads coordinated buying

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added $8,800 to Ninjas in Pyjamas at 54¢ amid coordinated buying by nine wallets and a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 87% of 245 resolved trades and earned $343,717 in P&L.
Nine wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas for a combined $28,824, while market volume spiked 198x above normal.
The bettor added $8,800 at 54¢, with the outcome later reaching 76%, signaling strong conviction and early positioning.

$8,800 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 58%

Nine-wallet coordinated buying wave

A proven high-volume cross-market trader added to Ninjas in Pyjamas amid a nine-wallet coordinated buying wave and a move from 58% to 76%.

Nine wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas for $28,824, creating strong one-sided conviction.
This trader has a 67% win rate across 918 resolved bets and $597,019 in lifetime profit.
The position was entered at 58% before the market moved to 76%; the trader was adding to an existing position.

$3,141 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 67%

18-wallet NiP conviction cluster

A large coordinated NiP position was supported by a proven 90% win-rate bettor and drove a 31-point price surge, though the market is now resolved at 100%.

Eighteen wallets committed about $80,942 to Ninjas in Pyjamas, with major entries around 53–58¢.
One participating bettor has won 90% of 162 resolved bets, entering at average odds of 63%.
The coordinated buying preceded a 31-point price jump; the market is now at 100%, so the historical entry is no longer available.

$80,942 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Serial event trader buys Ninjas

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader made a concentrated $13.3K buy while deploying $57.7K across five markets in the same event amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has a 70% win rate across 2,044 resolved trades and is up $4.28 million.
The wallet bought $13,333 of Ninjas in Pyjamas, equal to more than 24 times the prior 24-hour volume.
The trader has positioned $57,713 across five markets in this event, with activity recurring across four prior runs.

$13,333 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 65138316, $25,000 (81% win rate)
0x17f1...af18 — Outcome 65138316, $16,666 (56% win rate)
0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 65138316, $15,000 (40% win rate)
0x0fb5...e503 — Outcome 65138316, $14,877 (80% win rate)
0x52ec...a6f3 — Outcome 65138316, $13,836 (70% win rate)
0x84fb...675e — Outcome 65138316, $10,486 (57% win rate)
0x7124...cc9c — Outcome 65138316, $10,300 (75% win rate)
0x9cf7...8c87 — Outcome 65138316, $8,424 (76% win rate)
0xb589...91e3 — Outcome 65138316, $8,000 (55% win rate)
0x66b1...6b9d — Outcome 65138316, $7,817 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

LYON reverse sweeps Team Liquid

Covers 5 related markets

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$203,167 tracked5 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 4 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 4 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.