Part of: LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,464.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor doubling down on T1

A proven 80% bettor is adding to a large T1 position amid a seven-wallet coordinated push, despite the market falling sharply against the trade.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 106 resolved trades and is up $133,141 lifetime.
  • Seven wallets bought T1 for a combined $25,134, while this wallet already held $27,666 and added another $5,345.
  • The effective entry was about 53¢, but T1 has since fallen to 28¢—a high-conviction, higher-risk contrarian position.

$5,345 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 80%

11-wallet Nongshim buying surge

A large one-sided esports flow and 53.8-point price surge indicate substantial coordinated conviction on Nongshim Red Force, though some activity reflects existing-position management.

  • Eleven wallets bought $52,630 of Nongshim Red Force while the market moved up 40% in one day.
  • The market saw a 131x historical volume spike, with Nongshim now priced at 78%.
  • One participating bettor has a 90% win rate across 29 resolved bets, although some trades were position management rather than fresh bets.

$52,630 on Nongshim Red Force

Sharp serial trader backs T1

A highly profitable serial trader added to a large T1 position amid a six-wallet T1 buying cluster and an exceptional volume spike, despite subsequent price deterioration.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 1,686 resolved trades and is up $262,346 lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought T1 for $18,167 during a 224x volume spike, signaling concentrated conviction.
  • The trader already had $29,355 invested in T1, so this appears to be additional conviction rather than a routine new position.

$2,221 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp bettor adds to coordinated T1 bet

A proven high-volume bettor added to T1 alongside five other wallets, but the position has since moved sharply against them.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 106 resolved trades and is up $133,141 lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought T1 for a combined $18,167 during a 224x volume spike.
  • The $3,268 T1 entry at 65¢ is now marked around 32¢, making this a high-conviction but currently losing position.

$3,268 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9348...6664 Outcome 64473106, $543,304 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x4b1d...76a0 Outcome 64473106, $49,747 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 64473106, $32,000 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 64473106, $28,222 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x80ba...2e78 Outcome 64473106, $23,617 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xb589...91e3 Outcome 64473106, $15,259 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 64473106, $14,677 (40% win rate)
  8. 0x6eb0...a15c Outcome 64473106, $13,000
  9. 0x69b1...2687 Outcome 64473106, $12,695 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x282f...7c4e Outcome 64473106, $10,000 (89% win rate)

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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

ResolvedLoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier$63,464 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Nongshim Red Force and T1 in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for August 3 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Nongshim Red Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “T1
69¢
46¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

5d ago

$5,345 on T1 at 53¢

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

5d ago

$52,630 on Nongshim Red Force at 78¢

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

5d ago

$2,221 on T1 at 55¢

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

5d ago

$3,268 on T1 at 65¢

Related Theses