LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 between Sentinels and Disguised in the League of Legends Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal. The market resolves based on the Game 1 winner of the match initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00 PM ET, with resolution by April 16, 2026. PolySpotter is currently tracking $3,621 in smart money activity on this market, including signals from experienced esports bettors.

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Sentinels and Disguised in the Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against Sentinels. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,501.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 1,130 resolved trades bought Disguised at 44¢ just before a fast 15-point move to 52%, suggesting actionable momentum despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This bettor has 1,130 resolved trades, wins 65% of the time, and is up $88k overall
  • They bought Disguised at 44¢ and the price quickly moved to 52%, showing strong follow-through
  • The $3.6k buy was large versus the market’s $5.0k liquidity, so this was a meaningful conviction bet

$3,621 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 65%

Proven bettor in thin market

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with over 1,100 resolved bets bought Disguised at 47¢, and the stake was unusually large relative to this market’s recent activity.

  • This bettor has 1,130 resolved bets, wins 65% of them, and is up about $88k lifetime.
  • They bought Disguised at 47¢, a price that implies nearly even odds despite their long track record across 250 related markets.
  • This $1.9k buy was 63% of the market’s recent volume, so they moved into a relatively quiet market with real size.

$1,880 on Disguised | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0xafd4...7e61 Disguised, $14,961 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x9770...0ff5 Sentinels, $8,992 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x3186...e9ca Sentinels, $5,094 (59% win rate)
  4. 0xe015...6ffd Sentinels, $4,065 (87% win rate)
  5. 0xda3a...381f Sentinels, $4,000 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x7553...65ca Disguised, $3,015 (25% win rate)
  7. 0x000e...f7e9 Disguised, $1,997 (30% win rate)
  8. 0x1f03...b1be Sentinels, $1,975
  9. 0x996a...e3cc Sentinels, $1,534 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xb4e0...ffbe Sentinels, $1,362 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

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LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

3h$5,501 tracked2 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Sentinels
100¢
Disguised
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Sentinels and Disguised in the Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against Sentinels. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Sentinels
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$3,621 on Disguised at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,880 on Disguised at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Related Theses