What is the Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion prediction market?

It is a Polymarket market on who will win Game 1 between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season.

What are the possible outcomes?

The market resolves to “Sentinels” if Sentinels win Game 1, or to “Shopify Rebellion” if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1.

When is Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion Game 1 scheduled?

The match is initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00 PM ET.

How does the market resolve if the match is interrupted?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves based on Game 1 as long as that game has concluded and a winner has been determined.

How much smart money is tracked for this esports market?

PolySpotter tracks $8,537 in smart money across two signals, including activity related to both Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion.

Part of: LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

This League of Legends prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, scheduled for August 8 at 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 1 and is scheduled to resolve by August 9, 2026; PolySpotter tracks $8,537 in smart money across two signals.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,762.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor backs Shopify upset

A proven 88% bettor joined a three-wallet contrarian cluster with a 28x volume spike, though two wallets were adding to losing existing positions and the market moved sharply against them.

One bettor wins 88% of 563 resolved trades and is up $501,355 lifetime.
Three wallets bought Shopify Rebellion at 38–40¢, totaling $6,644 amid a 28x volume spike.
The thesis has weakened: odds fell to about 10%, and two wallets were adding to existing Shopify positions.

$6,644 on Shopify Rebellion

97% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable esports bettor bought Sentinels at 79% before a 22-point rise, with volume and price movement corroborating the position despite an existing holding.

This bettor has won 36 of 37 resolved trades and is up $20,187 on $115,257 invested.
The $1,893 Sentinels purchase at 79¢ preceded a move to 90%, alongside a 28x volume spike.
The wallet was adding to an existing Sentinels position, so this is strong confirmation rather than a brand-new entry.

$1,893 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 97%

93% winner leads Sentinels cluster

Three wallets added $4,225 to Sentinels, including a highly profitable 93% winner, while the market moved from roughly 63% to 76%.

A bettor with a 93% win rate across 125 resolved positions bought Sentinels at 62¢.
Three wallets added $4,225 around 62–64¢, and Sentinels has since risen to 76%.
The entry implied substantial value, but the current 76¢ price is above the suggested copying ceiling.

$4,225 on Sentinels

88% winner scaling into Shopify

A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate and $501k lifetime profit added substantially to a thin-market Shopify Rebellion position despite unfavorable price movement.

This bettor has won 495 of 563 resolved trades (88%) and earned $501,355 in profit.
The $4,000 purchase was over 2.5 times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
The trader is adding to an existing Shopify Rebellion position after the price fell from 38¢ to 24¢, making this a notable contrarian stance.

$4,000 on Shopify Rebellion | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 79347632, $6,923 (63% win rate)
0x5286...0d47 — Outcome 79347632, $5,000 (38% win rate)
0xef26...07c0 — Outcome 79347632, $3,000
0xafd4...7e61 — Outcome 79347632, $3,000 (60% win rate)
0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 79347632, $2,190 (70% win rate)
0xef26...05ba — Outcome 79347632, $1,693 (80% win rate)
0xdccd...f41a — Outcome 79347632, $1,555 (44% win rate)
0xe410...d4d1 — Outcome 79347632, $1,309 (98% win rate)
0xbafa...02e0 — Outcome 79347632, $1,134
0xc387...5a97 — Outcome 79347632, $1,116 (84% win rate)

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LoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

1hLoL: Sentinels vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$16,762 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports

This market refers to the LoL match between Sentinels and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 1 against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 1 against Sentinels. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.