Part of: LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and Sentinels in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 4 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 4 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,134.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Sentinels buying cluster

A four-wallet Sentinels cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike create a meaningful directional signal, despite this trader's mixed existing positions and only modest historical edge.

  • Four wallets bought Sentinels for $25,607, showing coordinated conviction on the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged 123.6x above the recent average ahead of the match.
  • This serial cross-market trader has 2,216 resolved bets and a 64% win rate, though the large opposing Shopify position makes the individual trade partly hedged.

$2,025 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 64%

Four-wallet Sentinels buying cluster

A four-wallet Sentinels cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike create a meaningful directional signal, despite this trader's mixed existing positions and only modest historical edge.

  • Four wallets bought Sentinels for $25,607, showing coordinated conviction on the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged 123.6x above the recent average ahead of the match.
  • This serial cross-market trader has 2,216 resolved bets and a 64% win rate, though the large opposing Shopify position makes the individual trade partly hedged.

$13,661 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp bettors buying Shopify dip

Four substantial wallets bought Shopify Rebellion at 34-36 cents amid a major volume spike, including multiple profitable traders with strong historical records.

  • Four wallets committed $21,776 to Shopify Rebellion at 34-36¢ during a 123x volume spike.
  • One bettor wins 79% of trades with a $3.7M profit and another wins 71% with nearly $5.0M profit.
  • The purchases came after a 12.5-point daily price decline, suggesting these traders are buying into weakness rather than chasing momentum.

$21,776 on Shopify Rebellion

Four-wallet Sentinels buying cluster

A four-wallet Sentinels cluster and extreme pre-event volume spike create a meaningful directional signal, despite this trader's mixed existing positions and only modest historical edge.

  • Four wallets bought Sentinels for $25,607, showing coordinated conviction on the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged 123.6x above the recent average ahead of the match.
  • This serial cross-market trader has 2,216 resolved bets and a 64% win rate, though the large opposing Shopify position makes the individual trade partly hedged.

$5,065 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 64%

Sharp bettor scaling into Sentinels

A proven 89% win-rate bettor is adding to a large Sentinels position amid a four-wallet one-sided buying cluster and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 55 resolved trades and is up $173,315.
  • They added $7,142 to an existing $20,000 Sentinels position at 65¢, signaling sustained conviction.
  • Four wallets bought Sentinels for $25,607 during a 123.6x volume spike versus the 24-hour average.

$7,142 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor leads Sentinels cluster

Three wallets added $18,465 to Sentinels, including a highly profitable 87% winner, amid a major volume spike and consistent cross-market positioning.

  • Three wallets committed $18,465 to Sentinels, with all three adding to existing positions.
  • The largest bettor wins 87% of 816 resolved trades and is up $675,000 lifetime, buying at an average 55% price.
  • Trading volume spiked more than 92x its recent average while related event markets showed strongly consistent positioning.

$18,465 on Sentinels

Elite bettor scaling into Sentinels

A highly proven bettor with an 87% win rate and 32-point edge is adding $10,000 to Sentinels while expressing a broader directional thesis across three event markets.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 816 resolved positions and is up $674,638.
  • They added $10,000 to Sentinels at 67¢ despite already holding nearly $15,000 in the same position.
  • The trader has positioned $30,000 across three markets in this event, signaling a concentrated view rather than a casual wager.

$10,000 on Sentinels | Wallet win rate: 88%

Related Theses

T1 wins Games 2 and 4

Covers 3 related markets

Peace deal after June

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Teams split first four

Covers 4 related markets

France wins 3-0 late

Covers 4 related markets

Hanwha wins in four

Covers 4 related markets

Team Liquid wins series 3-1

Covers 4 related markets

Movistar KOI Wins Every Game and Series

Covers 5 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps G2

Covers 5 related markets

Sentinels Sweep Shopify Rebellion

Covers 4 related markets

Laptop FDV Won’t Reach $500M

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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$78,134 tracked7 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Shopify Rebellion
100¢
Sentinels
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and Sentinels in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win Game 4 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 4 against Shopify Rebellion. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 23:03 UTC

$2,025 on Sentinels at 65¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:47 UTC

$13,661 on Sentinels at 65¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:35 UTC

$21,776 on Shopify Rebellion at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:35 UTC

$5,065 on Sentinels at 65¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:35 UTC

$7,142 on Sentinels at 65¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:30 UTC

$18,465 on Sentinels at 67¢

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner

2026-09-18 22:35 UTC

$10,000 on Sentinels at 67¢

Related Theses

T1 wins Games 2 and 4
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1…
Peace deal after June
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US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
Teams split first four
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France wins 3-0 late
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Hanwha wins in four
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Team Liquid wins series 3-1
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Karmine Corp sweeps G2
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Sentinels Sweep Shopify Rebellion
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Laptop FDV Won’t Reach $500M
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