LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 3 of the LoL EMEA Masters Playoffs lower bracket final between Solary and Misa Esports, originally scheduled for April 14. The market resolves to the Game 3 winner only, even if the full match is not completed after that game. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,466 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent alert tied to an 83% win-rate bettor.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 3 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 3 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,327.
Categories: league of legends, Esports, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
83% winner on event thesis
A proven 83% win-rate bettor sold Misa at 64¢ across related match markets before Misa collapsed to 28%, showing strong cross-market event edge.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $88.6k across nearly 400 resolved bets.
- They traded 3 markets in this same match event and have done this across 25 events, which points to a repeatable event-level edge.
- They sold Misa at 64¢ and that side is now 28¢, equivalent to buying Solary at 36¢ before a big move.
$1,050 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable contrarian esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Misa at 37¢ after a sharp 29-point drop, a contrarian entry that has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor has 450 resolved trades, wins 57% of them, and is up $113.7k overall
- They bought Misa at 37¢ after a 28.6-point drop, and the price is now 28¢
- They trade across related markets often — 71 markets over 52 events for $386k total
$1,528 on Misa Esports | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp bettor in 3-wallet cluster
A proven 83% winner joined two other wallets to buy Misa Esports around 62-64¢, and the market has since moved sharply to 77%, making this coordinated esports bet worth surfacing despite mixed cluster quality.
- One wallet in this cluster wins 83% of its bets and is up $88.6k across 399 resolved markets
- All 3 wallets bought Misa Esports for $8.5k total at 62-64¢, and the price has already moved to 77¢
- This same sharp wallet has bet across 30 related markets in 25 events with an 83% win rate
$8,466 on Misa Esports
83% win-rate bettor
A proven high-win-rate bettor with strong cross-market discipline bought Misa Esports at 62¢, making this a credible follow despite the moderate stake size.
- This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $88.6k across nearly 400 resolved bets
- They trade related markets repeatedly across 25 events, which points to a real edge in event-specific positioning
- Bought Misa Esports at 62¢, a meaningful fresh position in a market with over $20k of volume
$3,284 on Misa Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x33ab...9523 — Solary, $13,528
- 0x6049...f14f — Solary, $8,972
- 0xe308...25cd — Misa Esports, $5,096 (30% win rate)
- 0xbaa3...4e0e — Misa Esports, $4,868
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Solary, $4,433
- 0xfc92...2e78 — Misa Esports, $3,848 (71% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Solary, $3,471 (53% win rate)
- 0x7553...65ca — Misa Esports, $3,075 (25% win rate)
- 0x8d9f...787a — Solary, $3,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x7d7e...3b4f — Misa Esports, $2,911 (83% win rate)
