LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 3 of the LoL EMEA Masters Playoffs lower bracket final between Solary and Misa Esports, originally scheduled for April 14. The market resolves to the Game 3 winner only, even if the full match is not completed after that game. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,466 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent alert tied to an 83% win-rate bettor.

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 3 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 3 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,327.

Categories: league of legends, Esports, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

83% winner on event thesis

A proven 83% win-rate bettor sold Misa at 64¢ across related match markets before Misa collapsed to 28%, showing strong cross-market event edge.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $88.6k across nearly 400 resolved bets.
  • They traded 3 markets in this same match event and have done this across 25 events, which points to a repeatable event-level edge.
  • They sold Misa at 64¢ and that side is now 28¢, equivalent to buying Solary at 36¢ before a big move.

$1,050 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable contrarian esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Misa at 37¢ after a sharp 29-point drop, a contrarian entry that has already moved in their favor.

  • This bettor has 450 resolved trades, wins 57% of them, and is up $113.7k overall
  • They bought Misa at 37¢ after a 28.6-point drop, and the price is now 28¢
  • They trade across related markets often — 71 markets over 52 events for $386k total

$1,528 on Misa Esports | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp bettor in 3-wallet cluster

A proven 83% winner joined two other wallets to buy Misa Esports around 62-64¢, and the market has since moved sharply to 77%, making this coordinated esports bet worth surfacing despite mixed cluster quality.

  • One wallet in this cluster wins 83% of its bets and is up $88.6k across 399 resolved markets
  • All 3 wallets bought Misa Esports for $8.5k total at 62-64¢, and the price has already moved to 77¢
  • This same sharp wallet has bet across 30 related markets in 25 events with an 83% win rate

$8,466 on Misa Esports

83% win-rate bettor

A proven high-win-rate bettor with strong cross-market discipline bought Misa Esports at 62¢, making this a credible follow despite the moderate stake size.

  • This bettor wins 83% of their trades and is up $88.6k across nearly 400 resolved bets
  • They trade related markets repeatedly across 25 events, which points to a real edge in event-specific positioning
  • Bought Misa Esports at 62¢, a meaningful fresh position in a market with over $20k of volume

$3,284 on Misa Esports | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x33ab...9523 Solary, $13,528
  2. 0x6049...f14f Solary, $8,972
  3. 0xe308...25cd Misa Esports, $5,096 (30% win rate)
  4. 0xbaa3...4e0e Misa Esports, $4,868
  5. 0x84ad...bfb7 Solary, $4,433
  6. 0xfc92...2e78 Misa Esports, $3,848 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x2005...75ea Solary, $3,471 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x7553...65ca Misa Esports, $3,075 (25% win rate)
  9. 0x8d9f...787a Solary, $3,000 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x7d7e...3b4f Misa Esports, $2,911 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

Resolved$14,327 tracked4 signalsleague of legendsEsportsGamesSports
Solary
100¢
Misa Esports
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 3 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 3 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

3h ago

$1,050 on Solary at 36¢

36¢100¢64¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

3h ago

$1,528 on Misa Esports at 37¢

37¢0¢37¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

3h ago

$8,466 on Misa Esports at 63¢

63¢0¢63¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner

3h ago

$3,284 on Misa Esports at 62¢

62¢0¢62¢

Related Theses