LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner
This prediction market tracks who will win Game 4 of the League of Legends lower bracket final between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs. It resolves based on the Game 4 winner, with the listed resolution date of April 14, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $6,293 in smart money on this market, including recent signals tied to Solary and esports-focused bettors.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 4 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 4 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,140.
Categories: league of legends, Esports, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
3-wallet Solary sweep
Three experienced cross-market wallets piled into Solary around 43-52¢ before the market jumped to 82%, a strong coordinated signal despite this being a mid-liquidity esports market.
- Three active bettors all hit Solary at 43-52¢, and the market is now 82%.
- These wallets have large sample sizes and are all profitable, including one bettor with a 67% win rate over 1,540 resolved trades.
- The same group has bet 73 markets across 52 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market read rather than a one-off guess.
$6,293 on Solary
Profitable event specialist
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 451 resolved trades bought Solary at 37¢ across this match event, getting in below the current 42¢ price in a moderately thin market.
- This bettor has 451 resolved trades, a 57% win rate, and is up $113k overall
- They have played 4 markets in this same match event and 72 related markets across 52 events
- Bought Solary at 37¢ and the price is already up to 42¢, showing early follow-through
$1,834 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable esports thesis bettor
A profitable esports bettor with a solid 70% hit rate is making a meaningful same-event bet on Solary in a fairly thin Game 4 market after a sharp price drop.
- This bettor has won 44 of 63 resolved markets and is up about $77.6k overall
- They have put $4.3k across 3 related markets in this same match event, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Solary at 44¢ in a market with only about $4.0k of liquidity after a 17-point drop, showing willingness to step into weakness
$1,013 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x3719...2df0 — Misa Esports, $9,735 (64% win rate)
- 0x70c1...dba0 — Solary, $7,500 (91% win rate)
- 0xfc92...2e78 — Solary, $6,514 (70% win rate)
- 0xe308...25cd — Misa Esports, $5,964 (30% win rate)
- 0x7553...65ca — Misa Esports, $3,607 (25% win rate)
- 0x62c6...ab7b — Misa Esports, $3,485
- 0xd3b0...329e — Misa Esports, $3,431 (61% win rate)
- 0xfae6...ab69 — Misa Esports, $3,250
- 0xcec1...9c0c — Solary, $2,786 (52% win rate)
- 0xcb5b...f243 — Misa Esports, $2,184
