Part of: LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 4 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 4 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,316.

Categories: league of legends, Esports, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor caught reversal

A historically profitable high-volume bettor bought Solary at 51¢ during a sharp intramatch price swing, and the market has already moved hard in their favor to 88¢.

  • This bettor has made 1,440 resolved bets and is up about $48k overall
  • They bought Solary at 51¢ during a 31.5-point price swing, and the market is now at 88¢
  • The bet was meaningful versus market depth, with $1.2k into roughly $3.9k liquidity

$1,175 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 53%

3-wallet Solary sweep

Three experienced cross-market wallets piled into Solary around 43-52¢ before the market jumped to 82%, a strong coordinated signal despite this being a mid-liquidity esports market.

  • Three active bettors all hit Solary at 43-52¢, and the market is now 82%.
  • These wallets have large sample sizes and are all profitable, including one bettor with a 67% win rate over 1,540 resolved trades.
  • The same group has bet 73 markets across 52 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market read rather than a one-off guess.

$6,293 on Solary

Profitable event specialist

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with 451 resolved trades bought Solary at 37¢ across this match event, getting in below the current 42¢ price in a moderately thin market.

  • This bettor has 451 resolved trades, a 57% win rate, and is up $113k overall
  • They have played 4 markets in this same match event and 72 related markets across 52 events
  • Bought Solary at 37¢ and the price is already up to 42¢, showing early follow-through

$1,834 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable esports thesis bettor

A profitable esports bettor with a solid 70% hit rate is making a meaningful same-event bet on Solary in a fairly thin Game 4 market after a sharp price drop.

  • This bettor has won 44 of 63 resolved markets and is up about $77.6k overall
  • They have put $4.3k across 3 related markets in this same match event, which suggests a broader thesis rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Solary at 44¢ in a market with only about $4.0k of liquidity after a 17-point drop, showing willingness to step into weakness

$1,013 on Solary | Wallet win rate: 61%

Related Theses

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LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$10,316 tracked4 signalsleague of legendsEsportsGamesSports
Solary
100¢
Misa Esports
0¢

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Solary and Misa Esports in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win Game 4 against Misa Esports. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 4 against Solary. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

2026-04-14 18:25 UTC

$1,175 on Solary at 51¢

51¢→100¢↑49¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

2026-04-14 18:18 UTC

$6,293 on Solary at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

2026-04-14 17:55 UTC

$1,834 on Solary at 37¢

37¢→100¢↑63¢

LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 4 Winner

2026-04-14 17:55 UTC

$1,013 on Solary at 44¢

44¢→100¢↑56¢

Related Theses