Part of: LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
LoL: Supernova vs Conviction (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
This prediction market covers the League of Legends NACL Playoffs upper bracket semifinal best-of-three match between Supernova and Conviction. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with smart money tracking showing $1,009 and 1 signal, including activity from a profitable 78% bettor. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 23, 2026, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay conditions handled under the market rules.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Supernova and Conviction in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 22 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Supernova" if Supernova win the match against Conviction. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Supernova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,009.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable 78% bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% record across 222 resolved bets bought Conviction at 54¢ despite only a modest low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $24.5K lifetime.
- They bought Conviction at 54¢, backing the current slight favorite in a playoff match.
- The wallet has deployed $147K historically, making this a proven copy-trade signal despite the small alert size.
$1,009 on Conviction | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Conviction, $12,802 (70% win rate)
- 0x14f1...4a46 — Conviction, $8,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x42fc...7192 — Supernova, $4,750 (44% win rate)
- 0xe940...ce19 — Conviction, $4,689 (38% win rate)
- 0x3b63...4acd — Conviction, $4,585 (79% win rate)
- 0x7462...3ac3 — Supernova, $4,262 (51% win rate)
- 0xb595...5922 — Conviction, $3,520 (99% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Supernova, $2,661 (55% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...0e69 — Supernova, $2,546 (83% win rate)
- 0xd51c...5bbc — Supernova, $2,239
Related Theses
Conviction beats Supernova
Covers 1 related market
